Poll puts CDU at 26% in North Rhine-Westphalia, AfD at 21%

A new Insa poll puts the CDU at 26% in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany’s most populous state.

The figure is eight percentage points lower than in the institute’s May poll, while the AfD rises four points to 21%.

The SPD is at 18%, the Greens at 16% and the Left at 10%; the FDP is at 4%, below the threshold to enter the state parliament.

The CDU and Greens would lose their majority, and the poll suggests a three-party alliance would be needed to form a government.

That could make it harder for state premier Hendrik Wüst of the CDU to build a governing coalition, despite his high standing in a recent politician ranking.

The poll surveyed 1,000 people from October 6 until the Tuesday before its publication.

North Rhine-Westphalia votes on April 25, 2027; the poll is a snapshot, not the election result.