Politics · Brazil · 1 day ago
Quaest poll finds 70% expect more Congress conflicts in Lula’s next term
A Quaest poll asked Brazilians about Lula’s next government and its relations with Congress and the Supreme Court.
Seven in 10 expect more clashes with Congress than during Lula’s current government; 18% expect fewer, while 3% expect no change.
In 2022, before Lula’s third term, 48% expected more conflict with Congress than under Jair Bolsonaro, and 30% expected less.
Expectations about the Supreme Court are more mixed: 46% expect more conflict, 35% less, and 6% no change.
The poll points to expectations of strained relations between Lula’s next government and these institutions.
Quaest interviewed 2,004 people from October 30 to November 2, with a margin of error of two percentage points and a 95% confidence level.
A Quaest poll found that 70% of Brazilians expect Lula’s fourth government to have more conflicts with Congress than his current government.
Eighteen percent expect fewer conflicts, 3% expect the level to stay the same, and 9% did not know or did not answer.
On possible conflicts with the Supreme Federal Court, 46% expect more and 35% expect fewer.
The poll surveyed 2,004 people from October 30 to November 2 and was released on November 8.
- Who
- The poll surveyed 2,004 people in Brazil.
- What
- Quaest found that 70% expect Lula’s next government to have more conflicts with Congress than his current one.
- When
- The poll was conducted from October 30 to November 2, 2026, and released on November 8.
- Where
- Brazil.
- Why
- The poll asked about expectations for conflicts between Lula’s next government and Congress.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
Quaest surveyed 2,004 people.
Quaest released the poll, titled “Brazil after the ballot boxes.
- Expect more Congress conflicts
- 70%
- Expect fewer Congress conflicts
- 18%
- Expect the same level of Congress conflicts
- 3%
- Survey sample
- 2,004 people
- Margin of error
- 2 percentage points, plus or minus