Politics · Other · 5 hrs ago
Poll finds Netanyahu and opposition blocs tied before Israel election
A final poll puts Netanyahu’s bloc and its main opponents at 51 seats each ahead of Israel’s Tuesday election.
A government needs at least 61 seats in the 120-seat Knesset, so neither bloc is close to a majority on its own.
Arab-led parties and the nonaligned Reservists are projected to hold the balance, but many opposition parties have ruled out joining a coalition with the Arab-led parties.
The poll projects Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party to win 23 seats and Netanyahu’s Likud to win 21.
The projected seat totals point to a difficult path to forming a government, as both camps have also ruled out joining a coalition with the other.
If no coalition can be formed, another election would be held in early 2027, with Netanyahu staying on as caretaker prime minister.
The poll found that most Israelis would not want him to remain in that role.
A final poll found the blocs supporting and opposing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu tied at 51 seats each ahead of Israel’s election.
Neither bloc’s projected total would reach the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-seat Knesset.
Arab-led parties were projected to win 14 seats, while the nonaligned Reservists party was projected to win four.
Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party was projected to win 23 seats, and Netanyahu’s Likud 21.
The poll was conducted on October 14 and 15 among 500 Jewish and Arab respondents, with a margin of error of 4.4%.
- Who
- The blocs supporting and opposing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
- What
- A poll found the blocs tied at 51 seats each ahead of the election.
- When
- The poll was conducted on October 14 and 15. The election was due on Tuesday.
- Where
- Israel.
- Why
- The poll measured projected party and bloc support ahead of the election.
Netanyahu-supporting bloc
Netanyahu-opposing bloc
Projected seats
Netanyahu-supporting bloc
The bloc was projected to win 51 seats.
Netanyahu-opposing bloc
The bloc was projected to win 51 seats.
Coalition pledges
Netanyahu-supporting bloc
The source says a majority would require reversing campaign pledges about governing with certain factions.
Netanyahu-opposing bloc
Opposition parties have pledged not to join a coalition with Netanyahu.
Majority prospects
Netanyahu-supporting bloc
The bloc’s projected total was below the 61 seats needed for a majority.
Netanyahu-opposing bloc
The bloc’s projected total was below the 61 seats needed for a majority.
The poll was conducted with a representative sample of 500 Jewish and Arab respondents.
Netanyahu filmed a campaign video with the mayor of Kiryat Shmona.
Gadi Eisenkot visited the Western Wall, where he received a mixed reception.
Israel’s election was due to take place.
- Bloc seats
- 51 each
- Knesset majority threshold
- 61 of 120 seats
- Arab-led parties
- 14 seats projected
- Reservists
- 4 seats projected
- Poll sample
- 500 Jewish and Arab respondents
- Margin of error
- 4.4%
What people are saying
foreign influence campaign
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