Business · Trade · 1 hr ago

China’s trade surplus reaches $1.04tn in first 10 months

China’s trade surplus reaches $1.04tn in first 10 months

China’s trade surplus reached $1.04 trillion in the first 10 months of the year, exceeding $1 trillion for a second straight year.

Exports rose 35.2% in October from a year earlier, while imports grew 41.6%.

Demand for high-tech goods, including products linked to AI infrastructure, helped drive exports.

This strength matters because weak consumer spending and a prolonged property downturn have weighed on demand inside China.

Greater reliance on overseas sales could leave China more exposed if global demand slows, and may add to trade tensions with the European Union and the United States.

China has extended its trade truce with Washington by two months, and leaders from both countries are expected to meet at next week’s APEC summit in Shenzhen.

Trade rules and tariffs are likely to be key issues as China’s exports are expected to stay strong near term, though the outlook depends partly on how long the global AI investment boom lasts.

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What people are saying

Joe PeisselLead macroeconomist at Trivium China
The risk of additional tariffs and other trade barriers will remain elevated in 2027, particularly as Chinese manufacturers continue expanding their presence in overseas markets.
via Straits Times
Dave ChiaEconomist at Moody’s Analytics
We expect Chinese exports to stay strong for the rest of this year, led by electronics and autos
via AP
Alicia García-HerreroChief economist for Asia Pacific at Natixis
The situation is not sustainable
via AP