Politics · Spain · 12 hrs ago

Spain’s Nov. 29 election could draw 74% to 77% turnout

Spain’s Nov. 29 election could draw 74% to 77% turnout

Spain votes in a general election on Nov.

29, and turnout is forecast to reach 74% to 77%, well above the 2023 level.

The analysis says the PP has never governed after a general election with turnout above 70%, though it cites 1996 as an apparent exception.

It argues that PSOE wins in the Basque Country and Catalonia have coincided with forming Spain’s government in several past elections.

The Valencian Community is described as a particularly useful indicator, while Andalusia can provide many seats but may not be enough on its own.

The analysis says strategic voting for the left could matter in smaller provinces, which elect only three to five members of parliament.

The regional results and seat totals will shape who can secure an investiture, the parliamentary vote needed to form a government.

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What people are saying

Socialist lament, as recounted by La VanguardiaHistorical comment after the 1996 election
A week or a debate was missing to win
via La Vanguardia