Politics · France · 3 hrs ago
Glucksmann gains ground in polls ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election
Raphaël Glucksmann won the social-democratic primary on 11 October, taking 66.17% of the vote.
Several polls taken after his win put him close to Édouard Philippe and Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the race for second place in France’s 2027 presidential election.
The three candidates’ support is close, but estimates vary between polls and candidate scenarios.
Marine Le Pen remains far ahead in the first-round polling, with results ranging from 31% to at least 35%.
Glucksmann’s numbers are higher in scenarios where Gabriel Attal, rather than Philippe, is the centrist candidate.
The polls are snapshots, not predictions; one survey found that 46% of respondents who named a candidate might change their minds before the election.
Polls published after Raphaël Glucksmann won a social-democratic primary show him gaining support ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election.
In an OpinionWay poll, he was level with Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Édouard Philippe at 15% in one first-round scenario.
An Elabe poll put Glucksmann between 15% and 16.5%, close to Mélenchon and Philippe, while Marine Le Pen led with 31% to 33.5%.
Glucksmann’s support rose by four to five points from OpinionWay’s September poll, depending on the scenario.
Polls found he could reach 16% if Gabriel Attal were the sole candidate for the political centre.
- Who
- Raphaël Glucksmann, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Édouard Philippe and Marine Le Pen are among the candidates discussed.
- What
- Polls show Glucksmann gaining ground and drawing close to Mélenchon and Philippe in the race for second place.
- When
- The polls were conducted from 13 to 16 October 2026 and published between 14 and 17 October.
- Where
- France.
- Why
- Glucksmann’s support appears to have risen after his victory in the social-democratic primary.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
Glucksmann won the social-democratic primary with 66.17% of the vote.
OpinionWay conducted a poll of 1,043 people after the primary results.
Elabe conducted a poll of 1,701 people.
Polls showing Glucksmann close to Mélenchon and Philippe were published.
- Primary result
- Glucksmann won with 66.17% of votes
- OpinionWay poll
- 15% for Glucksmann, Mélenchon and Philippe in one scenario
- OpinionWay increase
- Glucksmann gained 4 to 5 points from the 10 September poll
- Elabe poll
- Glucksmann scored between 15% and 16.5%
- Marine Le Pen
- 31% to 33.5% in the Elabe first-round scenarios
4 sources
Présidentielle 2027 : loin derrière Le Pen, Philippe, Mélenchon et Glucksmann dans un mouchoir de poche, selon un sondage
Mélenchon, Glucksmann et Philippe au coude-à-coude pour la deuxième place, loin derrière Marine Le Pen
Après sa victoire à la primaire, Glucksmann grimpe dans les sondages
SONDAGE Présidentielle 2027 : l’énorme percée de Raphaël Glucksmann face à Jean-Luc Mélenchon et Edouard Philippe dans cette dernière enquête
What people are saying
Le “en même temps”, c’est fini
Edouard Philippe représente la droite, porte le bilan des dix dernières années, et c’est parfaitement légitime. Je porte les couleurs de la gauche démocratique et propose une rupture nette avec le macronisme. Ce n’est absolument pas soluble l’un dans l’autre. Les électeurs choisiront.
Bravo à la gauche qui a su rapidement organiser une primaire
la droite devrait être capable de faire de même