Politics · Brazil · 6 hrs ago
Survey finds Brazilians split on the economy after Lula’s re-election
A Quaest poll found Brazilians evenly split on the economy’s outlook after President Lula’s re-election: 39% expect it to improve over the next 12 months and 39% expect it to worsen.
Another 19% expect the economy to stay about the same.
The poll surveyed 2,004 voters aged 16 and older in Brazil from October 30 to November 2, with a margin of error of two percentage points.
Pessimism was strongest among higher-income voters and people in the South; 49% of people in households earning more than five minimum wages expect the economy to worsen, as do 58% of voters in the South.
By contrast, 48% of people earning up to two minimum wages expect improvement, as do 50% of voters in the Northeast.
Political views were also sharply divided: 79% of Lula supporters expect improvement, while 84% of Bolsonaro supporters expect worsening.
The economy, public spending, debt and interest rates were the leading concerns among voters who felt more worried than optimistic about Brazil’s future.
The poll also found that ending the six-day work week with one day off was the most-cited campaign promise voters want addressed, at 17%; the poll did not say what happens next.
A Quaest survey found Brazilians evenly split on whether the economy will improve or worsen over the next 12 months after Lula’s re-election.
Thirty-nine percent expected improvement and 39% expected a worsening, while 19% expected conditions to stay the same.
The survey was commissioned by O Globo and conducted in person with 2,004 voters aged 16 or older from October 30 to November 2.
Expectations had shifted since August, when 46% expected improvement and 24% expected a worsening.
Views varied sharply by income, region and political affiliation.
- Who
- Quaest surveyed 2,004 Brazilian voters aged 16 or older.
- What
- The survey found equal shares expecting the economy to improve or worsen over the next 12 months.
- When
- Interviews took place from October 30 to November 2; the survey was published on November 8, 2026.
- Where
- Brazil.
- Why
- Not stated.
Optimists
Pessimists
Economic outlook
Optimists
They expect the economy to improve over the next 12 months.
Pessimists
They expect the economy to worsen over the next 12 months.
46% expected the economy to improve and 24% expected it to worsen.
Quaest conducted 2,004 in-person interviews with voters aged 16 or older.
The survey was published, showing 39% expecting improvement and 39% expecting worsening.
- Survey sample
- 2,004 voters aged 16 or older
- Fieldwork
- October 30 to November 2
- Expected improvement
- 39%
- Expected worsening
- 39%
- Expected no change
- 19%
- Margin of error
- 2 percentage points in either direction