Business · Markets · 3 hrs ago

Indian bond yields fall as oil prices ease

Indian bond yields fall as oil prices ease

India’s benchmark 10-year government bond yield fell on Monday, closing at 7.15%, down from 7.19% on Friday.

Brent crude fell to $95.16 a barrel from $97.18, helping ease pressure on bond markets.

Dealers linked the oil-price drop to easing geopolitical concerns and reports that Iran no longer intended to charge a toll.

The yield had already fallen 23 basis points last week, its sharpest weekly decline in nearly seven years, after US midterm election results revived hopes of a resolution to the US-Iran war.

Cheaper oil could give the Reserve Bank of India room to hold rates steady at its next Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 2–4.

Expectations have shifted from a possible 50-basis-point rate hike towards either a smaller hike or no change.

The rupee weakened against the dollar on Monday, ending a five-day run of gains.

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What people are saying

Dealer with a public sector bankBond market dealer
The rally was primarily driven by a $2 decline in Brent crude following reports that Iran no longer intended to charge a toll, alongside easing geopolitical concerns and a reduction in the war-related risk premium.
via Business Standard
December policy expectations have shifted from a 50-bps rate hike to a possible 25-bps or status quo. Overall, easing oil prices, geopolitical risk premiums and monetary policy expectations are gradually shifting market sentiment towards the long side.
via Business Standard
Dilip ParmarSenior research analyst at HDFC Securities
The Indian rupee registered a technical retracement, snapping a five-day winning streak amid state-run bank dollar buying ahead of a market holiday. The intraday correction followed morning gains catalysed by a soft dollar index, resilient foreign institutional inflows, and weaker crude oil pricing.
via Business Standard