Politics · France · 11 hrs ago

Economists warn against broad French spending cuts during slowdown

Economists warn against broad French spending cuts during slowdown

Economists Jérôme Creel and Jonas Kaiser warn against broad austerity in France, arguing that the timing and design of budget cuts matter.

France faces persistent deficits, rising debt and higher interest costs, while investors are demanding a wider gap between French and German borrowing rates.

The authors say past deficits did not clearly boost the economy, but that does not mean cutting them would be painless.

Deficits can rise because the economy is weak, or because governments choose to cut taxes or fund programmes.

Some spending can support recovery or develop future industries, while poorly timed measures may fuel inflation or support declining sectors.

Cuts during a slowdown could deepen the economic cost, especially as unemployment rises.

The authors argue that France needs to consider the effects of budget decisions, not just whether they meet European rules.

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Jérôme Creel and Jonas KaiserEconomists
Indiscriminate austerity, applied when activity is slowing and unemployment is rising, could be particularly costly.
via Le Monde
The effects of deficits depend on when and how they arise.
via Le Monde