Politics · Brazil · 7 hrs ago
Veritá poll gives Flávio Bolsonaro a narrow lead over Lula
A Veritá poll puts Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of Lula two days before Brazil's presidential runoff.
Among valid votes, which exclude blank and spoiled ballots, Flávio has 51.3% and Lula has 48.7%.
The poll's margin of error is one percentage point, so the candidates are close within the poll's margin.
In the previous Veritá poll, released two days earlier, Flávio had 50.7% and Lula 49.3%, also within the margin of error.
Veritá came closest to the first-round result among the polling institutes cited in the story.
It surveyed 15,554 voters by phone from October 18 to 22, with a stated confidence level of 95%.
Voters decide the runoff in two days, and the poll is an estimate rather than the election result.
Veritá’s latest poll puts Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in valid votes before Brazil’s presidential runoff.
The poll gives Bolsonaro 51.3% and Lula 48.7%, with a margin of error of one percentage point.
The survey was released on October 23, two days before the runoff.
The previous Veritá poll, released October 21, showed the candidates in a technical tie.
Veritá interviewed 15,554 voters by telephone from October 18 to 22.
- Who
- Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
- What
- A Veritá poll gives Bolsonaro a narrow lead over Lula in valid votes.
- When
- Released October 23, 2026, two days before the runoff.
- Where
- Brazil.
- Why
- Not stated.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
Veritá conducted 15,554 telephone interviews with voters.
Veritá released an earlier poll showing a technical tie, with Bolsonaro at 50.7% and Lula at 49.3% of valid votes.
Veritá released its latest poll, showing Bolsonaro at 51.3% and Lula at 48.7% of valid votes.
Brazil’s presidential runoff was scheduled to take place.
- Valid votes
- Bolsonaro 51.3%; Lula 48.7%
- Margin of error
- 1 percentage point
- Interviews
- 15,554 voters, by telephone
- Fieldwork
- October 18–22, 2026
- Survey registration
- BR-06070/2026