Business · Economy · 1 day ago

Brazil central bank holds interest rate at 13.75% as outlook worsens

Brazil central bank holds interest rate at 13.75% as outlook worsens

Brazil’s central bank kept its benchmark interest rate at 13.75%, pausing a series of cuts that began in March 2026.

The decision was made by the bank’s Monetary Policy Committee, known as Copom.

Former central bank chief Gustavo Loyola said the pause was cautious and appropriate, pointing to worsening economic expectations, pressure on the exchange rate and higher inflation expectations.

Uncertainty about Brazil’s public finances is a key concern, because doubts about how the government will manage its debt can keep inflation expectations high.

Loyola said persistently weak expectations could make it harder for the bank to lower interest rates.

He also warned that raising the inflation target could damage confidence in the bank’s commitment to controlling prices.

The outlook for 2027 remains uncertain, and the central bank has not signaled that rate cuts are over for good.

3 sources

Related

What people are saying

Gustavo LoyolaEconomist and former central bank president
What happened was basically a worsening of expectations, a worsening of the macroeconomic scenario, mainly the exchange rate, and a worsening of inflation expectations, already reflected, including, in the FOCUS survey.
via CNN Brasil
Brazil’s macroeconomic Achilles’ heel is public accounts, and without a solution to stabilize debt as a proportion of GDP, expectations will tend to remain very deteriorated and interest rates will not fall.
via CNN Brasil
A weakness, or whatever is perceived as a weakness by the Central Bank, could unanchor expectations, which would be very bad from the point of view of monetary policy going forward.
via CNN Brasil
In the short term, an increase in external interest rates is bad for Brazil.
via CNN Brasil