Business · Markets · 9 hrs ago

French unrest and budget fears put pressure on the euro

French unrest and budget fears put pressure on the euro

About half a million people joined protests across France over living costs and struggling schools, and violence and looting followed in several cities over the weekend.

The unrest has renewed concern about France’s public finances, as investors worry that any concessions to protesters could raise government spending.

French government bonds came under pressure, with the yield on 10-year bonds reaching 4.9%, its highest level since 2002.

France’s debt is close to 120% of its economic output, nearly twice the limit set by the Maastricht rules.

The euro weakened against the dollar, though reports gave different levels during trading: it briefly fell below $1.12, while another market update put it at $1.1230.

The pressure on the currency is linked in part to the bond market and uncertainty over France’s budget, while the government lacks a majority in parliament to push through a budget repair plan.

Investors are watching the budget path as political tensions persist and a presidential election approaches in about six months.

6 sources

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What people are saying

Jim ReidDeutsche Bank analyst
With an already difficult fiscal starting position in France and the 2027 election approaching, the weekend adds another layer of political risk to markets
via Handelsblatt
Louis-Vincent GaveGavekal Research analyst
France today faces a social crisis, an immigration crisis, an energy crisis, an economic crisis and a budget crisis
via Tagesschau
Kieran WilliamsHead of Asian foreign exchange research at InTouch Capital Markets
The impact of the unrest on the euro is mainly linked to the French bond market, not directly to the security events
via Asharq Al-Awsat