Politics · Brazil · 5 hrs ago
Poll puts Vicentinho Júnior ahead of Dorinha in Tocantins runoff
A Real Time Big Data poll puts Vicentinho Júnior ahead of Senator Professor Dorinha in the runoff for governor of Tocantins, a state in Brazil.
It gives the federal deputy from the PSDB 52% of valid votes, against Dorinha’s 48%.
Valid votes exclude blank and null ballots, and the poll’s margin of error is 2 percentage points.
The survey interviewed 1,600 Tocantins voters from October 15 to 19, with a stated confidence level of 95%.
Dorinha led Vicentinho in the first round, winning 45.52% of valid votes to his 43.94%, but the latest poll shows the lead has switched.
A separate Paraná Pesquisas poll also put Vicentinho ahead, though it showed a larger lead, at 56.5% to 43.5% of valid votes.
The runoff is due on October 25, and polls reflect voter views at the time rather than guarantee the result.
A Real Time Big Data poll puts Vicentinho Júnior ahead of Professora Dorinha by 52% to 48% among valid votes in the Tocantins gubernatorial runoff.
The poll surveyed 1,600 voters in Tocantins from October 15 to 19 and was published on October 20.
Including blank and invalid votes, Vicentinho had 46% and Dorinha 42%; 10% chose blank or invalid, and 2% did not know or did not answer.
A separate Paraná Pesquisas poll reported a wider lead for Vicentinho, at 56.5% to 43.5% among valid votes.
Dorinha led Vicentinho in the first round, winning 45.52% of valid votes to his 43.94%.
- Who
- Federal deputy Vicentinho Júnior and Senator Professora Dorinha are competing for governor of Tocantins.
- What
- A Real Time Big Data poll puts Vicentinho ahead, 52% to 48% among valid votes.
- When
- The poll was conducted from October 15 to 19, 2026, and published October 20.
- Where
- Tocantins, Brazil.
- Why
- Not stated.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
Real Time Big Data conducted an earlier poll, in which Dorinha had 44% and Vicentinho had 39%.
Paraná Pesquisas surveyed 1,500 voters and reported Vicentinho leading Dorinha among valid votes, 56.5% to 43.5%.
Real Time Big Data surveyed 1,600 voters in Tocantins.
Reports on the polls were published by VEJA on October 19 and by Poder360 and Gazeta do Povo on October 20.
The runoff election was scheduled to take place.
- Real Time Big Data valid-vote result
- Vicentinho Júnior 52%; Professora Dorinha 48%
- Real Time Big Data sample
- 1,600 voters
- Survey dates
- October 15–19, 2026
- Margin of error
- 2 percentage points
- Confidence level
- 95%
- TSE registration
- TO-09320/2026