Politics · Spain · 5 hrs ago
Polls Put Spain’s PP and Vox on Course for a Parliamentary Majority
Spain’s conservative People’s Party is projected to finish ahead of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s Socialists in the November 29 election.
Several polls suggest the PP would need support from the far-right Vox to secure a majority in the 350-seat lower house.
Estimates vary, but polls put the two parties together at about 190 to 200 seats.
The Socialists have recovered some ground in certain polls, though they remain well behind the combined right.
Housing, immigration and corruption are expected to dominate the campaign, which is due to start four days after the polls were published.
A deadly train crash last month, which led to Transport Minister Óscar Puente’s resignation, is also expected to shape the debate.
Spain’s hard-left parties failed to agree on a joint candidate list, weakening Sánchez’s chances of leading a left-wing coalition; the Broad Front is projected to win 10 to 15 seats, while Podemos risks losing its representation.
Polls ahead of Spain’s November 29 general election put the conservative People’s Party (PP) and right-wing Vox on course for a parliamentary majority.
Different surveys projected the two parties together winning about 190 to 200 seats in the 350-seat lower house.
The Socialists, led by Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, were projected to win between 105 and 108 seats in some polls.
One survey found the Socialists’ voting-intention share had risen to 29.9%, narrowing the gap with the PP to 2 percentage points.
The campaign is expected to focus on housing, immigration and corruption, as well as the aftermath of last month’s deadly train crash.
- Who
- Spain’s PP, Vox and the Socialists, led by Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez.
- What
- Polls project that the PP and Vox together could win a parliamentary majority.
- When
- The election is scheduled for November 29, 2026. The polls were reported on November 9.
- Where
- Spain.
- Why
- The polls reflect voter intentions ahead of the general election; the sources do not state a specific reason for the projected results.
This story does not have two clearly opposing sides.
Polls reported projections showing the PP and Vox together on course for a parliamentary majority.
Spain is scheduled to hold a general election.
- Lower house size
- 350 seats
- SocioMetrica projection
- Around 200 seats for the PP and Vox combined
- 40dB projection
- Around 190 seats for the combined right wing
- Sigma Dos projection
- 199 seats for the PP and Vox, and 105 for the Socialists
- 40dB voting intention
- Socialists at 29.9%, with a 2-percentage-point gap to the PP