Archive · 30 Jul 2026
AI Threatens 12% of India's Non‑Agricultural Jobs
A big bank called Goldman Sachs said that new computer programs that can write and think like people might take over some jobs in India.
They think that about 8 to 12 percent of jobs that are not in farming could be replaced.
But another 42 to 48 percent of jobs might get help from these programs instead of being lost.
Jobs that involve a lot of copying or typing are most at risk, while jobs that need hands or people to talk to each other might grow.
The programs could make India’s workers a little more productive over the next ten years, maybe by 0.1 to 0.8 percent.
The biggest danger is in computer‑helped business services and phone and mail work, while factories that need a lot of hands are less affected.
Goldman Sachs estimates 8‑12% of India’s non‑agricultural jobs could be replaced by generative AI.
The AI could automate 9‑17% of tasks, while 42‑48% of jobs may be complemented.
Routine clerical and professional roles face the highest substitution risk; routine‑physical and craft jobs may grow.
IT‑enabled BPS and postal/telecom services are most vulnerable; manufacturing is least affected.
AI adoption could lift India’s labor‑productivity growth by 0.1‑0.8 percentage points over a decade.
- Who
- Goldman Sachs
- What
- Report on generative AI’s impact on India’s non‑agricultural workforce
- When
- Wednesday, 2024
- Where
- Mumbai, India
- Why
- To assess the extent of job substitution and complementarity due to AI
- Risk of job substitution
- 8-12%
- Risk of job complement
- 42-48%
- Tasks automated
- 9-17%
- Potential productivity boost
- 0.1–0.8 percentage points over 10 years
- Industries most at risk
- IT‑enabled BPS, postal and telecom services