Archive · 13 Sep 2025
Emerging Markets to See Stronger Inflows, Says BofA
Imagine the world's money is like water flowing into different countries.
Right now, the water is mostly in the U.S. because things were going well there.
But, experts at big banks like Bank of America and Morgan Stanley think some of that water will start flowing to other countries, especially those in what are called 'emerging markets'.
These are countries like Brazil and Mexico.
Why?
Because the U.S. dollar is predicted to weaken.
Also, these emerging markets might lower their interest rates, which attracts investors.
This shift is expected to happen soon because investors see that emerging economies are strong and can give good returns.
This means more money will go into these countries, potentially making their economies stronger.
This trend could also be boosted as investors begin diversifying their portfolios.
Bank of America predicts stronger inflows into emerging markets early next year.
Analysts point to a weakening dollar as a key factor driving the shift.
Emerging market debt has outperformed developed market debt this year.
Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia are expected to be among the main beneficiaries.
The dollar has fallen more than 8% this year, its biggest annual drop since 2017.
- Who
- Bank of America analysts and Morgan Stanley analysts
- What
- Expect stronger inflows into emerging markets due to a weakening dollar and other factors.
- When
- In early next year, and in the final months of the year.
- Where
- Emerging markets such as Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Turkey, and Poland.
- Why
- Due to a weakening dollar, the potential for more rate cuts by local central banks, and historically low exposure from global funds.
- Main Beneficiaries
- Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Turkey, Poland
- EM Debt Returns (YTD)
- Almost 9%
- Developed Market Debt Returns (YTD)
- 7.5%
- Dollar Decline (YTD)
- More than 8%
- Dollar's Biggest Drop
- Since 2017