Archive · 15 Aug 2025
India's August Rainfall Deficit Impacts Cotton Production
India's monsoon in early August brought less rain than usual, especially in central areas.
However, the east and northeast parts of the country received more rain than normal.
Even though farmers planted cotton on a slightly smaller area of land, experts predict India will produce more cotton next year because the crops are doing well.
Southern states are likely to have a record cotton harvest.
Overall, the country's farmers are expecting a good harvest, though some areas have already experienced damage due to heavy rains.
India experienced a 20% rainfall deficit in the first half of August.
Central India had a significant rainfall deficit of 59% during the same period.
East and Northeast regions received surplus rainfall for the first time this season.
Cotton production for 2025-26 is expected to rise despite a 3% drop in sowing area.
Southern states anticipate a record cotton harvest, potentially reaching 1 crore bales.
- Who
- India Meteorological Department, Cotton Association India, and agricultural sector.
- What
- India's rainfall is deficient, impacting the cotton outlook.
- When
- First half of August 2025.
- Where
- India.
- Why
- To assess the impact of rainfall on crop production, particularly cotton.
US Department of Agriculture
Cotton Association India (CAI)
Cotton Production
US Department of Agriculture
Projects a decline in India’s cotton output for 2025-26.
Cotton Association India (CAI)
The CAI forecasts higher yields and expects a higher cotton production for the 2025-26 season.
- Rainfall Deficit (Aug 1-15)
- 20%
- Central India Rainfall Deficit
- 59%
- Total Rainfall (June 1-Aug 15)
- 581.5 mm
- Cotton Sowing Area Decline
- 3%
- Cotton Production Forecast
- 325-330 lakh bales
- Kharif Sowing Increase
- 4%
Sources
Storage in India’s major reservoirs near 75% of capacity
Delhi sees record rain surge, annual average crossed 4 months early
Focus on saving water to boost groundwater levels: CM
Kharif outlook: India’s cotton output may rise on higher yields despite dip in area