Archive · 13 Jan 2026
US Inflation Data Release Awaited
The US is going to release its inflation numbers for December 2025 on January 13, 2026.
This is important because it helps the Federal Reserve decide if they should change interest rates.
People are expecting inflation to stay around 2.7%.
The Federal Reserve has been cutting rates, but now they might wait and see how the economy does.
The job market is doing well, so they might not cut rates too soon.
There is also some political pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower rates, but they are waiting for the right data.
The release of this data will help everyone understand if inflation is going up or down.
The US CPI data for December 2025 is expected to show inflation continuing to rise by 2.7%, with core inflation at 2.7%.
The Federal Reserve is likely to keep its benchmark interest rate between 3.50%-3.75% after three cuts in 2025.
The December jobs report indicated slower hiring and a slight drop in the unemployment rate, reducing the likelihood of a rate cut.
Markets expect no change in rates at the Fed’s January meeting, with the next FOMC meeting scheduled for January 27-28.
Political pressure is mounting on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, but the Fed is resisting based on data.
- Who
- Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Federal Reserve, Economists, Markets
- What
- Release of December 2025 US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data
- When
- January 13, 2026, at 8:30 A.M. Eastern Time
- Where
- United States
- Why
- To gauge inflation trends and inform Federal Reserve interest rate decisions
- Release Date
- January 13, 2026
- Release Time
- 8:30 A.M. Eastern Time
- Expected Headline Inflation (December 2025)
- 2.7%
- Expected Core Inflation (December 2025)
- 2.7%
- Current Fed Funds Rate
- 3.50%-3.75%
- Next FOMC Meeting
- January 27-28, 2026
- Unemployment Rate (December 2025)
- Slight drop
- November Headline Inflation
- 2.7%
- November Core Inflation
- 2.6%
Sources
Inflation rises to 3-month high of 1.33 in Dec; remains below RBI tolerance band
FMCG sector value growth at 6.9 per cent in December, led by rural markets: Bizom
All Eyes on US CPI Data Today: Check time of release and what markets expect
Mint Quick Edit | India’s Goldilocks economy: A peace dividend of monetary-fiscal policy harmony
US consumer prices likely stayed elevated in December as data recovers from shutdown