Archive · 23 Jul 2025
India’s Economic Outlook: Growth Forecasts Revised Amid Global Concerns
India's economic growth predictions have been slightly lowered by the Asian Development Bank due to worries about international trade and tariffs from the US.
Although the forecast is less optimistic than before, the country is still expected to grow quickly.
Dun & Bradstreet's survey showed a slight decrease in business confidence for the third quarter, mostly because of concerns about the global economy, but domestic business outlooks are still good.
Small businesses seem confident, and domestic orders have increased.
The decrease in business confidence can also be linked to a dip in optimism around export orders due to tariff announcements, while the overall domestic economic situation remains supportive.
ADB lowered India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.5% due to trade uncertainty and US tariffs.
Dun & Bradstreet's Business Optimism Index for Q3 2025 declined, reflecting global economic uncertainty.
The decline in the BOI was driven by a fall in optimism in large and medium firms, while small firms showed resilience.
Domestic outlook remains strong, supported by improving macroeconomic conditions and rising domestic orders.
India's economy grew by 6.5% in FY25, its slowest pace in four years.
- Who
- Asian Development Bank and Dun & Bradstreet
- What
- ADB lowered India's growth forecast while business optimism index declined.
- When
- ADB lowered the forecast for FY26, and the business optimism index was for Q3 2025.
- Where
- India
- Why
- ADB lowered the forecast due to trade uncertainty. BOI declined due to global economic uncertainty.
ADB and Business
Dun & Bradstreet
Economic Growth
ADB and Business
Economic Slowdown is a Concern
Dun & Bradstreet
Domestic Market Strength can sustain optimism
- ADB FY26 Growth Forecast
- 6.5%
- India FY25 Growth
- 6.5%
- BOI Q3 2025
- 117
- BOI Decline
- 2.3%