Archive · 28 Jun 2025
US Economy: Recession Fears Rise Amid Income, Spending Drop
Imagine the US economy is like a person spending money.
In May, this person earned a little less money than before and also decided to spend less.
This is a bit worrying because spending is what keeps the economy going.
One reason for less spending was people buying fewer cars after rushing to buy them earlier.
Experts are now worried because spending has gone down, and they think that rising prices and tariffs could make things worse.
They are predicting slower growth for the economy, and there's even a chance that the economy might slow down a lot or have a recession.
US personal income decreased by 0.4% in May.
Consumer spending fell 0.1% in May, the first decline since January.
Motor vehicle sales dropped sharply in May.
Economists are concerned about the impact of tariffs on consumer spending.
Economic forecasts predict slower growth for the rest of 2025.
- Who
- US consumers and economists
- What
- US personal income and consumer spending declined in May.
- When
- May 2025
- Where
- United States
- Why
- Due to a drop in income and spending, coupled with concerns about tariffs, the US economy may be heading for a slowdown.
Concerned Economists
Cautious Analysts
Impact of Tariffs and Economic Slowdown
Concerned Economists
Economists fear that a combination of factors, including tariffs, could lead to a recession.
Cautious Analysts
Some argue that the May decline was largely a reflection of Social Security payments returning to more typical levels.
- Personal Income Change (May)
- -0.4%
- Consumer Spending Change (May)
- -0.1%
- GDP growth late 2024
- 2.5%
- Expected GDP growth by year-end 2025
- 1.1%