Archive · 1 Aug 2025
US Yields Plummet on Soft Payrolls, Pointing to Rate Cut
The US government is seeing a bit of a slowdown in how many jobs are being created, which makes it more likely that the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates soon.
This is causing investors to buy bonds, which in turn makes the interest rates on these bonds go down.
Experts now think there's a good chance the Fed will cut rates in September.
The manufacturing sector is also shrinking, with factories not hiring as many people.
The government is watching all of this to see how the economy is doing.
US Treasury yields plunged following a jobs report showing fewer jobs were created than expected in July.
Two-year yields dropped to their lowest point in five weeks.
The benchmark 10-year yield also fell to a five-week low.
The unemployment rate rose to 4.2% in July.
U.S. manufacturing contracted for a fifth consecutive month.
- Who
- Investors, the Federal Reserve, and the US labor market.
- What
- US Treasury yields decreased due to a weaker-than-expected jobs report.
- When
- July
- Where
- United States
- Why
- The slower job growth and declining manufacturing activity increased the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut.
Federal Reserve Officials
Economists
Dissenting Opinions
Federal Reserve Officials
Some officials were concerned about the cooling labor market.
Economists
No opposing view explicitly present in the article.
- Two-Year Yield
- 3.743%
- Ten-Year Yield
- 4.241%
- Unemployment Rate
- 4.2%
- Nonfarm Payrolls (July)
- 73,000 jobs
- Manufacturing PMI
- 49.0