Archive · 9 Jan 2026
China's Car Sales to Stagnate in 2026, EV Exports May Slow
China's car sales are expected to stay flat in 2026, which means they won't grow much.
This is because people aren't buying as many cars as before, and the government is giving less money to help people buy electric cars.
Last year, electric cars and plug-in hybrids sold more than gasoline cars for the first time, but their sales growth slowed down.
Many cities stopped giving subsidies for trading in old cars, which made it harder for car companies.
Some companies are trying to sell more cars overseas, but it might not be as successful as last year.
The Chinese government is also changing some tax rules for exports, which might affect sales.
Some companies are still hopeful and setting big sales targets, but many dealers think sales will go down.
China's car sales expected to stagnate in 2026, extending a downtrend.
EV and plug-in hybrid sales growth slowed sharply to 17.6% in 2025 from 40.7% in 2024.
Domestic demand faded in the last quarter of 2025 due to reduced government subsidies.
Chinese automaker BYD posted its weakest sales growth in five years in 2025, but sales abroad hit a record of more than 1 million vehicles.
China's overall car exports increased 19.4% to 5.79 million vehicles in 2025, while pure EV exports were up 48.8% to 1.52 million units.
- Who
- China's auto industry, including associations and automakers like BYD, Geely, and Xiaomi
- What
- Stagnant car sales and slowing EV export growth in 2026
- When
- 2026
- Where
- China and international markets
- Why
- Reduced government subsidies, intense competition, and weaker outlook for electric cars and falling oil prices
- China's 2025 car sales growth
- 3.9%
- 2025 EV sales growth
- 17.6%
- 2024 EV sales growth
- 40.7%
- 2025 new energy vehicle sales share
- 59%
- 2025 overall car exports growth
- 19.4%
- 2025 pure EV exports growth
- 48.8%
- 2025 plug-in hybrid exports growth
- More than tripled
- 2026 expected car export growth
- 10%
- 2026 expected EV export growth
- 0%
- 2026 VAT export rebate for solar products
- Cancelled from April 1
- 2026 VAT export rebate for battery products
- Cut to 6% from April to December, scrapped from January 2027