Archive · 24 May 2025
Jefferies: Asian Currencies to Rise Against US Dollar Long-Term
Imagine the money in different countries like the money in your piggy bank.
A recent report says that the money in Asian countries is likely to become stronger compared to the money in the United States over time.
This is because Asian countries are saving more money than wealthier countries.
Also, changes in how the US deals with trade and the financial success of Asian countries play a role.
The report mentions that the US is now less likely to have an economic slowdown because it has changed some of its rules.
This also means some American families might not have to pay as much for things and helps reduce inequality.
The savings in Asian countries are much higher than in other groups of developed countries.
Jefferies report projects long-term appreciation for Asian currencies against the US dollar.
Higher gross national savings in emerging Asian economies drive currency strength.
Emerging Asia's savings rate in 2024 (excluding Taiwan and Korea) was 39% of GDP, significantly higher than G7 nations.
US trade policy under the Trump administration and the financial strength of Asian countries are contributing factors.
The risk of a near-term recession in the US has decreased, partially due to changes in tariff plans.
- Who
- Jefferies analysts.
- What
- Asian currencies are expected to appreciate against the US dollar.
- When
- The report projects a long-term trend.
- Where
- Asia and the United States.
- Why
- Driven by higher savings in Asian economies and changes in US trade policies.
- Projected Trend
- Long-term appreciation against US dollar
- Driving Force
- Emerging Asian economies
- Emerging Asia Savings Rate (2024, excl. Taiwan/Korea)
- 39% of GDP
- G7 Savings Rate (2024)
- 20.1%
- Key Influencer
- Trump administration