Archive · 26 Dec 2025
Iron Ore Prices to Drop in 2026
Experts say that the price of iron ore, which is used to make steel, will go down a bit in 2026.
This is because people are buying less steel and there is more iron ore being produced.
The price is expected to drop from $93 per tonne in 2024 to $85 in 2026 and then to $82 in 2027.
Even though the price is going down, some countries like Australia and India are making more iron ore.
Big companies are trying to make their production cheaper so they can still make money.
The price drop might slow down new projects in some places, like Russia.
Overall, the experts think that the price of iron ore will stay about the same in the short term, but it might go down more in the long term.
Iron ore prices forecasted to drop to $85 per tonne in 2026 and $82 in 2027 due to weak steel demand and higher supply.
Global iron ore production growth expected to accelerate, averaging 2.7% annually from 2025 to 2029.
Australia's iron ore production to grow by 2.5% in 2025, driven by expansions and new projects.
Global steel production in the first 11 months of 2025 was 1.69 billion tonnes, down 1.4% from the previous year.
India's iron ore production forecasted to reach 290 million tonnes in 2025, with steady growth expected beyond 2025.
- Who
- Analysts from AOCE, SMM, and CreditSights
- What
- Forecasted decline in iron ore prices and changes in production
- When
- 2026 and beyond
- Where
- Global, with specific mentions of Australia, Brazil, China, India, and Russia
- Why
- Weak steel demand and higher iron ore supply
- Current Iron Ore Price
- $110.76 per tonne
- Forecasted 2026 Price
- $85 per tonne
- Forecasted 2027 Price
- $82 per tonne
- Global Production Growth (2025-29)
- 2.7% annually
- Australian Production Growth (2025)
- 2.5%
- Simandou Mine Capacity
- 120 million tonnes per year
- Global Steel Production (Jan-Nov 2025)
- 1.69 billion tonnes (down 1.4% YoY)
- Indian Iron Ore Production (2025)
- 290 million tonnes (up 2% YoY)