Archive · 15 Nov 2025
HAL's Valuation Premium Driven by Order Book and Future Potential, Despite Execution Challenges
HAL is a big company in India that makes planes and helicopters for the military.
Its stock has become much more valuable, going up over 10 times since it first started selling shares!
This is happening even though the company's sales and profits haven't grown as fast recently.
One big reason for this is that HAL has a huge list of orders, like a giant to-do list, for many years to come.
They are also trying to make more advanced parts and even fully made-in-India planes.
However, they've had trouble getting important parts, like engines, on time, which has slowed down how fast they can build things.
This has caused their sales to stay the same while their order book grew.
HAL also has a lot of money saved up and no debt, which helps them manage these problems.
They are also looking to make planes for regular people and explore space.
While these new plans are exciting, they will take time to start making money.
HAL's stock has surged over 10x since its 2018 IPO, trading at a 37x P/E ratio, significantly higher than its 5-year median.
Despite a recent slowdown in EPS growth to 10% in FY25 from 31% in FY24, HAL's order book has doubled to Rs 1.89 lakh crore.
Supply chain bottlenecks, particularly with engine deliveries for Tejas jets, have hampered sales growth and created a mismatch with the rising order book.
HAL is expanding manufacturing capacity and investing in R&D for indigenous aircraft, with analysts projecting accelerated revenue growth.
Diversification into space and civil aviation, including partnerships for satellite launch vehicles and civil aircraft, aims to reduce dependence on defense budgets.
- Who
- Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL)
- What
- HAL's stock is trading at a high valuation premium due to its strong order book and future growth potential in manufacturing and diversification, despite recent challenges in sales growth, earnings, and supply chain bottlenecks.
- When
- Stock rally mainly in 2023-2024; supply issues impacted momentum in 2025; diversification initiatives expected to generate revenue from FY27.
- Where
- India
- Why
- HAL's dominant position in India's defense sector, significant order book providing long-term visibility, and expansion into new areas like space and civil aviation are driving its valuation premium, even as it works to overcome supply chain and execution challenges.
- Market Capitalization
- Largest defence stock in India
- Stock Performance Since IPO
- More than 10x gain since 2018
- Current P/E Ratio
- 37x
- 5-Year Median P/E Ratio
- 17x
- Order Book
- Rs 1.89 lakh crore (doubled in FY25)
- FY24 EPS Growth
- 31%
- FY25 EPS Growth Projection
- 10%
- Cash Reserve
- Rs 38,000 crore