Archive · 8 Sep 2026
Jiang Xueqin Predicts War, Draft, Economic Crisis and Civil Conflict
Jiang Xueqin is making several predictions about what could happen in the United States and around the world.
He thinks a conflict in West Asia could become a long ground war for the United States.
He predicts that the government might bring back a military draft by 2027.
He also expects more immigration enforcement and National Guard activity in American cities.
Jiang says trouble around the Strait of Hormuz could make fuel and food much more expensive.
He believes these problems could cause protests and serious fighting inside the United States.
He has also suggested that Donald Trump could somehow serve a third term, even though current constitutional rules prevent someone from being elected president more than twice.
Experts quoted in the article say these are assumptions and are not guaranteed to happen.
Professor Jiang Xueqin predicts that an escalating West Asia conflict could lead to a prolonged U.S. ground war.
He says the United States could establish a legal framework for a military draft by 2027.
Jiang forecasts expanded Immigration and Customs Enforcement authority and frequent National Guard deployments in major cities.
He warns that disruption of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger energy-price spikes, supply-chain breakdowns, food shortages and inflation.
Jiang also predicts civil-war conditions, possible U.S. fragmentation and a third presidential term for Donald Trump, though experts say these scenarios are speculative.
- Who
- Professor Jiang Xueqin, a Chinese-Canadian educator known online as “China’s Nostradamus,” made the predictions.
- What
- He predicted a chain of war, conscription, expanded domestic enforcement, economic disruption and civil conflict, along with a possible third Trump term.
- When
- The forecasts focus mainly on 2027 and the following years; Jiang discussed them on a podcast in April and at an Austin meetup on August 23.
- Where
- The predictions primarily concern the United States, the West Asia conflict and global economic effects.
- Why
- Jiang argues that military escalation could create a chain reaction involving a draft, domestic unrest, stronger policing and economic breakdown.
Jiang Xueqin’s Forecasts
Skeptical Assessment
Likelihood of war and civil conflict
Jiang Xueqin’s Forecasts
Jiang says escalating conflict in West Asia could lead to a failed air campaign, a U.S. ground invasion, a prolonged war and civil-war conditions at home.
Skeptical Assessment
The article says analysts and experts view predictions of this scale as dependent on assumptions and unproven calculations, rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Economic consequences
Jiang Xueqin’s Forecasts
Jiang argues that disruption of the Strait of Hormuz would sharply raise energy and fertilizer prices, damage supply chains and cause food shortages and inflation.
Skeptical Assessment
The article does not provide an alternative economic forecast, but presents the scenario as a prediction rather than an established event.
Third Trump term
Jiang Xueqin’s Forecasts
Jiang claims Donald Trump will receive a third term and has offered a broader prediction of major political change in the United States.
Skeptical Assessment
The article notes that the 22nd Amendment currently prevents a person from being elected president more than twice, making the prediction incompatible with current constitutional rules.
- Main forecast period
- 2027 and the years that follow
- Conflict prediction
- A possible full-scale U.S. ground invasion in West Asia followed by a multi-year war of attrition
- Military draft
- Jiang predicts a legal framework for mandatory U.S. military conscription by 2027
- Domestic enforcement
- He forecasts expanded Immigration and Customs Enforcement authority and routine National Guard deployments in major metropolitan areas
- Economic risk
- A prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption could increase oil, gas and fertilizer prices and contribute to shortages and inflation
- Political prediction
- Jiang claims Donald Trump could obtain a third term, despite the current constitutional two-term limit
- Long-term scenario
- He predicts possible U.S. fragmentation and a future Christian AI theocracy, with Austin becoming the country’s center of gravity