Archive · 13 Nov 2025
Indian Rupee Edges Lower, Supported by State Bank Interventions
Imagine the Indian rupee is like a student trying to stay above a certain line in a game.
On Thursday, the rupee was trying to avoid dropping below a special line against the dollar.
Some businesses wanting to buy things from other countries were pushing the rupee down.
However, banks owned by the government stepped in and sold dollars, which helped prop up the rupee and keep it from falling to a new all-time low.
It's like the banks are playing defense to protect the rupee's value.
At the same time, the cost of everyday things for people in India went down a lot in October, reaching a record low.
This usually makes people think the country's central bank might lower the cost of borrowing money.
But, the prices of things people buy regularly, excluding food and energy, didn't go down as much.
This steady price makes it harder for the central bank to decide if it should lower borrowing costs next month.
The Indian rupee depreciated on Thursday, trading near 88.70 against the dollar.
State-run banks intervened by selling dollars, preventing the rupee from falling below its recent record low.
Persistent corporate hedging demand is a key factor weakening the rupee.
India's retail inflation dropped to a record low of 0.25% in October.
Steady core inflation at 4.4% year-on-year raises doubts about a potential Reserve Bank of India rate cut in December.
- Who
- State-run banks in India, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), corporate hedgers, traders, analysts, and the Indian government.
- What
- The Indian rupee declined against the dollar due to corporate hedging demand, but intermittent dollar sales by state-run banks prevented it from hitting a new record low. Meanwhile, retail inflation hit a record low, but core inflation remained steady, creating uncertainty about a potential RBI rate cut.
- When
- Thursday, with the record low for the rupee occurring on September 30th, and October inflation data released recently.
- Where
- India
- Why
- Persistent corporate hedging demand is pushing the rupee lower, while state-run banks' dollar sales are defending its near-record low. Steady core inflation is casting doubt on the possibility of an RBI rate cut despite low headline inflation.
October Retail Inflation Slump
Persistent Core Inflation and Bond Market Doubts
RBI Rate Cut Possibility
October Retail Inflation Slump
India's retail inflation dramatically decreased to a record low of 0.25% in October, which analysts at Goldman Sachs believe suggests a potential for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the RBI in December.
Persistent Core Inflation and Bond Market Doubts
Despite the low headline inflation, the bond market remains unimpressed due to a steady core inflation reading of 4.4% year-on-year, leading traders to doubt the possibility of an RBI rate cut in the upcoming month.
- Rupee vs. Dollar (11:20 AM IST)
- Near 88.70
- Previous Close (Rupee vs. Dollar)
- 88.63
- All-time Low (Rupee vs. Dollar)
- 88.80
- Benchmark 10-year Bond Yield
- 6.503%
- October Retail Inflation
- 0.25%
- Core Inflation
- 4.4% year-on-year
- Sensex Change
- +0.3%
- Nifty 50 Change
- +0.3%