Archive · 12 Aug 2026
Katsu Curry Index Shows Yen Severely Undervalued, BNY Says
Geoff Yu, a money expert at a big bank called Bank of New York Mellon, made a new way to check if the Japanese yen is worth the right amount.
He compares the price of katsu curry, a popular Japanese meal with pork and rice, in different countries.
When one US dollar can buy a lot of curry in Japan, it means the yen is weak.
Right now, one dollar buys about 159 yen, but his curry comparison says it should only buy about 62 yen.
That suggests the yen is much cheaper than it should be based on what food really costs.
The famous Big Mac index, created by The Economist magazine, says the dollar should buy about 80 yen, so it also thinks the yen is weak.
Japan and the United States recently stepped in to make the yen stronger, which was the biggest action like that in 15 years.
It worked at first, but the yen has already given back half of those gains.
A weak yen makes trips abroad and many meals, services and goods in Japan more expensive.
The expert worries that if katsu curry and ramen become too pricey, Japanese people will want their leaders to change policy.
BNY Mellon senior strategist Geoff Yu created the Katsu Curry Index, using CoCo Ichibanya prices as an alternative to The Economist's Big Mac Index.
One dollar bought about 159.23 yen in global currency markets on Wednesday morning, while the curry index implies a fair value of 62.18 yen per dollar.
The Big Mac Index, based on McDonald's hamburger prices, suggests the dollar should instead buy 80.30 yen.
Japanese and US authorities staged the most dramatic currency intervention in 15 years after the yen hit its lowest level against the dollar in four decades.
Yu warned that if katsu curry or ramen prices become prohibitive in Japan, calls for policy change could grow.
- Who
- Geoff Yu, a senior strategist at Bank of New York Mellon
- What
- Created the Katsu Curry Index, an international price comparison of the pork-and-rice dish based on CoCo Ichibanya prices, to measure the yen's weakness
- When
- On Wednesday morning, when one dollar bought about 159.23 yen in the global currency market
- Where
- In global currency markets, with the focus on Japan's purchasing power
- Why
- To get an accurate snapshot of how the yen's retreat feels in Japan as the impact of recent currency intervention fades
- Index creator
- Geoff Yu, senior strategist at Bank of New York Mellon
- Dollar-yen market rate
- About 159.23 yen per dollar
- Katsu Curry Index implied rate
- 62.18 yen per dollar
- Big Mac Index implied rate
- 80.30 yen per dollar
- Price data source
- CoCo Ichibanya, the world's biggest curry-rice chain with about 1,500 outlets
- Currency intervention
- Most dramatic by Japanese and US authorities in 15 years
- Yen's recent low
- Lowest level against the dollar in four decades
- Other PPP indexes
- Tall Latte Index (Starbucks coffee) and KFC Index