Archive · 21 Jul 2026
Geopolitical Risks May Sustain High Credit-Deposit Growth Gap
A recent report by SBI Economic Research says that the big difference between how much banks lend (credit) and how much they receive in deposits might stay high.
This is because of problems like geopolitical risks and supply shocks.
However, more money coming into special accounts for foreign customers, called FCNR(B) deposits, could help balance things out.
The report also talks about how oil prices affect lending and how food prices affect deposits.
Banks are advised to manage their money carefully during these times.
There have been some changes in where people put their money in banks, like more people in smaller towns and cities saving, and a preference for saving money for a few years.
The credit-deposit growth gap is over 530 basis points and is likely to remain elevated due to geopolitical risks and supply shocks.
Deposit growth could improve with increased inflows into FCNR(B) deposits.
Crude oil price shocks significantly influence credit growth, while food inflation impacts deposit growth over longer periods.
Banks are advised to adopt new liquidity management strategies during geopolitical tensions.
Structural shifts in bank deposits include saturation in metropolitan areas, a preference for term deposits, and an increase in the one-to-three-year maturity bucket.
- Who
- SBI Economic Research
- What
- Geopolitical risks and supply shocks could keep the credit-deposit growth gap elevated.
- When
- Report released on Monday
- Where
- India
- Why
- Due to persistent geopolitical risks and external supply shocks.
Geopolitical Risks and Supply Shocks
FCNR(B) Deposit Inflows
Impact on Credit-Deposit Gap
Geopolitical Risks and Supply Shocks
Geopolitical risks and external supply shocks are likely to keep the credit-deposit growth gap elevated, currently over 530 basis points.
FCNR(B) Deposit Inflows
Increased inflows into FCNR(B) deposits could improve deposit growth dynamics and potentially reduce the gap.
- Credit-Deposit Growth Gap
- Over 530 basis points
- Bank Credit Growth (Y-o-Y)
- 18.6%
- Deposit Growth (Y-o-Y)
- 13.3%
- Average Crude Oil Price (2004-05)
- $41.3 per barrel
- Bank Credit Growth (2004-05)
- 21.7%
- Deposit Growth (2004-05)
- 14.1%