Archive · 21 Jul 2026
Lula Extends Lead Over Bolsonaro in Brazil Poll
A recent poll in Brazil shows that President Lula is becoming more popular compared to Senator Bolsonaro as the country gets ready for its presidential election in October.
The poll, conducted by Quaest, found that 45% of people would vote for Lula in a second round, while 37% would vote for Bolsonaro.
This is a slight increase from a previous poll in June.
In the first round, Lula would get 40% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro with 28%.
Other candidates like Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema have much lower support.
The poll surveyed 2,004 people and has a small margin of error.
Lula leads Bolsonaro by 45% to 37% in a potential second-round runoff, up from 44% to 38% in June.
In a first-round scenario, Lula would get 40%, Bolsonaro 28%, with other candidates trailing.
The poll was conducted by Quaest and commissioned by brokerage Genial.
Surveyed 2,004 people between July 10 and 13 with a 2% margin of error.
The poll follows recent political developments, including a corruption investigation and tariff threats.
- Who
- Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro
- What
- A poll showing Lula's lead over Bolsonaro in the presidential race
- When
- Poll conducted between July 10 and 13, results published July 15
- Where
- Brazil
- Why
- To gauge voter intentions ahead of the October presidential election
- Polling Organization
- Quaest
- Commissioned By
- Genial
- Sample Size
- 2,004 people
- Polling Dates
- July 10-13
- Margin of Error
- 2 percentage points
- Lula's Second-Round Support
- 45%
- Bolsonaro's Second-Round Support
- 37%