Archive · 29 Jul 2026
Gen-AI to impact 8-12% of India's non-agricultural jobs
A report by Goldman Sachs suggests that Generative Artificial Intelligence (Gen-AI) could replace 8-12% of India's non-agricultural jobs, while helping 42-48% of workers by making them more productive.
The report says that Gen-AI will mostly change the types of jobs people do rather than cause widespread job losses.
Jobs that involve a lot of physical work, like construction, are less likely to be affected.
The services sector, including education, media, and financial services, is expected to see the biggest changes.
Some jobs, like clerical support and certain professional roles, may be at higher risk of being replaced by AI.
However, jobs that require physical work, like craft and trade-related workers, are expected to see an increase in demand.
Gen-AI could substitute 8-12% of India's non-agricultural employment.
Gen-AI is expected to complement 42-48% of the workforce by enhancing productivity.
The services sector, particularly education, media, financial services, and professional services, shows the highest exposure to Gen-AI-driven automation.
Sectors dependent on physical labour, such as construction, show relatively low task exposure and are likely to remain unaffected.
Demand is expected to increase in occupations requiring greater physical involvement, such as physical occupations, craft and trade-related workers, and plant and machine operators.
- Who
- Goldman Sachs
- What
- Impact of Generative Artificial Intelligence (Gen-AI) on India's non-agricultural jobs
- When
- Report released on July 29
- Where
- India
- Why
- To analyze the potential impact of Gen-AI on India's labour market
Job Replacement Concerns
Job Complementation and Growth
Job Replacement
Job Replacement Concerns
Gen-AI could substitute 8-12% of India's non-agricultural employment, particularly in clerical support roles, professionals, services and sales workers, and technicians.
Job Complementation and Growth
Gen-AI is expected to complement 42-48% of the workforce by enhancing productivity and freeing capacity for higher-value work.
Sector Impact
Job Replacement Concerns
The services sector, particularly education, media, financial services, and professional services, shows the highest exposure to Gen-AI-driven automation.
Job Complementation and Growth
Sectors dependent on physical labour, such as construction, show relatively low task exposure and are likely to remain unaffected.
Employment Gains
Job Replacement Concerns
Certain occupations may face higher substitution risks due to higher exposure to Gen-AI.
Job Complementation and Growth
Demand is expected to increase in occupations requiring greater physical involvement, such as physical occupations, craft and trade-related workers, and plant and machine operators.
- Estimated Job Substitution
- 8-12% of non-agricultural employment
- Estimated Job Complementation
- 42-48% of non-agricultural employment
- Highest Exposure Sectors
- Education, media, financial services, professional services
- Lowest Exposure Sectors
- Construction, physical labour-intensive sectors
- Highest Substitution Risk Roles
- Clerical support, professionals, services and sales workers, technicians
- Projected Employment Gains
- Physical occupations, craft and trade-related workers, plant and machine operators
