Archive · 4 Oct 2026
Indian Markets Watch RBI Policy, Earnings and West Asia
Indian investors are preparing for an important week.
They want to hear what the Reserve Bank of India plans to do about interest rates and the economy.
Companies are also starting to report how they performed from July to September.
Recent factory and industrial figures showed growth in August.
But worries about conflict in West Asia, energy costs and rising US bond yields are making investors cautious.
Oil prices have eased from recent highs as shipments through the Strait of Hormuz recovered.
The Sensex and Nifty both ended the previous week lower, and the Nifty has fallen for eight weeks in a row.
Investors will also watch economic news from the United States.
These developments could affect whether Indian share prices rise or fall.
Investors are awaiting the Reserve Bank of India’s policy decision, including signals on interest rates, inflation and growth.
The July–September earnings season is beginning, with company results expected to provide clues about business performance and demand.
August industrial production grew 8%, while manufacturing output rose 9% and electricity and gas supply increased 12.3%.
The Sensex closed at 71,909.70 and the Nifty at 22,421.95 after both fell; the Nifty recorded its eighth consecutive weekly decline.
West Asia tensions, oil prices, US Treasury yields and upcoming US economic data are among the factors likely to influence market sentiment.
- Who
- Indian stock-market investors, the Reserve Bank of India and companies reporting quarterly results.
- What
- Markets are watching the RBI policy decision, the start of second-quarter earnings and international developments.
- When
- The coming week; the article also reports market closing levels from the previous week and industrial data for August.
- Where
- Indian markets, with sentiment also affected by developments in West Asia and the United States.
- Why
- The RBI’s outlook, company performance, energy prices, geopolitical tensions and global financial conditions may shape market sentiment.
Factors Supporting a Recovery
Factors Weighing on Sentiment
West Asia and oil
Factors Supporting a Recovery
A meaningful easing of tensions could trigger a sharp market recovery, and Brent crude has eased from recent highs as Strait of Hormuz exports recovered closer to pre-war levels.
Factors Weighing on Sentiment
Continued tensions and expensive energy remain concerns, and further oil-price movements could affect markets.
Domestic data and market direction
Factors Supporting a Recovery
August industrial production grew 8%, with manufacturing output up 9% and electricity and gas supply up 12.3%.
Factors Weighing on Sentiment
The Nifty has fallen for eight consecutive weeks, and weak momentum suggests pressure may continue.
Global financial conditions
Factors Supporting a Recovery
A sustained rise in the Nifty above the 22,800–23,000 resistance range could ease selling pressure.
Factors Weighing on Sentiment
Higher US Treasury yields and inflation concerns may tighten global financial conditions and make emerging-market assets less appealing.
- Sensex close
- 71,909.70
- Nifty close
- 22,421.95
- Nifty weekly trend
- Eighth consecutive weekly decline; it lost over 3% last week.
- Nifty resistance levels
- 22,800 and 23,000
- Nifty support levels
- 22,350 and 22,180
- August industrial production
- Growth of 8%, compared with an upwardly revised 7.4% in July.
- August manufacturing output
- Rose 9%.
- August electricity and gas supply
- Rose 12.3%.