Archive · 29 Aug 2026
Weak Monsoon Rains Could Push FY27 Inflation Above 5.5%
A bank report is warning that inflation may become higher next financial year.
It says consumer-price inflation could reach 5.5% or more.
The southwest monsoon was still 13% weaker than its usual average as of Thursday.
Farmers have improved the amount of kharif crops they have planted.
However, the rainy season is not over yet.
Rainfall in its final month will be especially important.
If the remaining rains are weak, the inflation outlook could worsen.
The report says this weather situation needs close attention.
The southwest monsoon was 13% below its long-period average as of Thursday.
A bank report warned that FY27 consumer-price inflation could reach 5.5% or higher.
Kharif sowing has improved considerably from the deficit recorded earlier in the season.
Rainfall during the final month of the monsoon remains critical, according to the report.
The report linked the inflation risk to uncertainty surrounding the monsoon and agricultural sowing.
- Who
- An unnamed bank, through a report, issued the warning.
- What
- The report said FY27 consumer-price inflation could reach 5.5% or higher if monsoon conditions remain weak.
- When
- The monsoon assessment was stated as of Thursday; the inflation projection concerns FY27.
- Where
- The report referred to the southwest monsoon and kharif sowing; no specific location was identified.
- Why
- Rainfall remained below its long-period average, and the final month of the monsoon was described as critical.
- Inflation projection
- FY27 CPI could reach 5.5% or higher.
- Monsoon status
- The southwest monsoon was 13% below its long-period average as of Thursday.
- Agricultural sowing
- Kharif sowing improved considerably from an earlier deficit.
- Critical period
- Rainfall during the final month of the monsoon remains important.
- Source
- The warning was issued in a bank report.