Archive · 29 Oct 2025
Fed Rate Cut Expected to Be 'Non-Event'; Guidance and QT to Drive Markets, Says Manulife
Imagine the Fed is like a parent deciding whether to give a treat (lower interest rates).
Everyone already knows a small treat is coming, so it’s not a big surprise.
What really matters is what the parent says about future treats and other rules.
If the parent sounds worried about things like prices going up too much, it might make people nervous about their toys (money).
The Fed cut is expected to be small and already planned, so it won't shake things up much.
But what the Fed says about what they'll do next is super important.
They might hint at more treats, or they might say they are still watching out for problems.
This future talk could make the markets, which are like a big playground for money, go up or down.
Gold and silver prices are calming down after going up a lot, which is seen as normal.
Overall, markets are doing well, but the strategists are being careful about where they put their money.
Manulife strategist Marc Franklin believes the upcoming Federal Reserve rate cut is already priced in and will likely be a 'non-event' for markets.
Investor focus is shifting to the Fed's forward guidance and commentary on its quantitative tightening (QT) program for market direction.
Markets overwhelmingly expect a 25 basis point rate cut to a range of 375–400 basis points at the October 29, 2025 Fed meeting.
Franklin views recent pullbacks in gold and silver as healthy consolidation, with long-term drivers for gold remaining intact.
Manulife is selectively deploying capital in global equities, favors Singaporean equities, and holds a neutral stance on India.
- Who
- Marc Franklin, Deputy Head of Multi Asset Solutions Asia at Manulife Investments
- What
- Anticipates the upcoming Federal Reserve rate cut to be a 'non-event' as it is already priced in by markets, with focus shifting to the Fed's forward guidance and quantitative tightening (QT) program.
- When
- Prior to the Federal Reserve meeting on October 29, 2025.
- Where
- United States Federal Reserve, global markets, precious metals, global equities, Singaporean equities, Indian equities.
- Why
- Market focus has shifted from the rate cut itself to the Fed's future outlook and commentary on QT, which could introduce volatility if inflation concerns remain.
- Fed Rate Cut Expectation
- Markets have priced in a 25 basis point rate cut.
- Meeting Date
- October 29, 2025
- Expected Rate Range
- 375–400 basis points
- Manulife's View on Gold/Silver
- Healthy consolidation after being technically overstretched.
- Manulife's View on Global Equities
- Participating in the rally but becoming more selective.
- Manulife's View on Singapore Equities
- Positive, supported by MAS program.
- Manulife's View on Indian Equities
- Neutral.