Archive · 14 Sep 2026
Poll Puts Le Pen Ahead in France’s 2027 Presidential Race
A large poll asked French voters who they might support in the 2027 presidential election.
Marine Le Pen was shown leading the first round with about one-third of the vote.
The election’s first round is scheduled for April 18, 2027.
A second round is scheduled for May 2.
Edouard Philippe could face Le Pen if Gabriel Attal does not run.
If both centrist candidates stay in the race, Jean-Luc Mélenchon could instead reach the second round.
Many voters said they feel worried, tired, angry, or uncertain about France’s future.
The poll said people want major political and social change, but it did not say Le Pen’s victory is certain.
Marine Le Pen could win about one-third of the first-round vote on April 18, 2027, according to an Ipsos-BVA survey of 13,060 people.
Edouard Philippe could face Le Pen in the runoff if Gabriel Attal withdraws from the race.
If Philippe and Attal both remain candidates, Jean-Luc Mélenchon could reach the second round after the centrist vote is split.
Nearly three-quarters of respondents believe France’s situation will deteriorate, while 91 percent reported at least one negative feeling.
Seven in 10 respondents want the 2027 election to bring real social and political change, although Ipsos-BVA said a far-right breakthrough is not inevitable.
- Who
- Marine Le Pen leads the poll, with Edouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon also featured as possible major candidates.
- What
- An Ipsos-BVA poll projects several possible outcomes for the first and second rounds of France’s 2027 presidential election.
- When
- The first round is scheduled for April 18, 2027, and the runoff for May 2, 2027; the poll was conducted earlier this month.
- Where
- France.
- Why
- The poll attributes voter dissatisfaction to concerns about public finances, the cost of living, and a desire for major social and political change.
- Survey size
- 13,060 respondents
- First-round date
- April 18, 2027
- Runoff date
- May 2, 2027
- Projected leader
- Marine Le Pen, with about one-third of the first-round vote
- Public outlook
- Nearly three-quarters believe France’s situation is about to deteriorate
- Negative feelings
- 91 percent reported at least one negative feeling
- Demand for change
- Seven in 10 respondents want real social and political change