Archive · 2 Jun 2025
India's Q4 GDP Growth Projected to Exceed Expectations
India's economy is expected to grow faster in the first three months of 2025 than it did in the previous period.
Experts think the economy will grow by around 6.8%.
However, some worry that people aren't buying as much and companies aren't investing as much money, which could slow things down.
Economists have differing views on how well the economy will do overall this year.
Some indicators show that consumers are not spending as much and there could be a drop in consumption, possibly affecting the GDP.
India's Q4FY25 GDP growth is projected to be stronger than previous quarters, potentially exceeding 6.8%.
GVA growth is expected to be more modest at 6.5%.
Economists forecast FY25 GDP growth at 6.3%, slightly below the government's 6.5% estimate.
Consumption indicators show moderation, with potential for a lower Q4 consumption.
Weakening consumption and slow investment are key concerns for economic growth.
- Who
- Economists and Financial Experts
- What
- GDP growth projections and economic analysis
- When
- January-March 2025 (Q4FY25) and FY25
- Where
- India
- Why
- Driven by government spending, crop production, and consumer spending, tempered by investment.
Pessimistic View
Optimistic View
Consumption Trends
Pessimistic View
Consumption is moderating and may disappoint.
Optimistic View
GST numbers indicate strong consumption; upside surprise is possible.
Economic Drivers
Pessimistic View
Private capex hasn't recovered; global headwinds and domestic factors temper growth.
Optimistic View
Rabi crop is good, and agri GVA growth should be fine. Services should be better.
- CNBC-TV18 Poll Q4 GDP Growth
- 6.8%
- GVA Growth Estimate
- 6.5%
- FY25 GDP Growth Forecast
- 6.3%
- Q3 GDP Growth
- 6.2%
- Q2 GDP Growth
- 5.6%
