Archive · 25 Sep 2025
Russia Expects Scrappage Fee Revenues to Rise Despite Sales Drop
Imagine the government charges fees when old cars are taken off the road.
Even though fewer people are buying cars in Russia right now, the government thinks it will make a lot more money from these fees next year.
This is because the fees might go up, and they hope car production will get better.
Right now, car sales are down, and some factories are working less.
The money from these fees helps pay for things the government is working on.
But, since car sales are down, the government may need to cut back on some programs.
The Russian government anticipates a rise in car scrappage fee revenues in 2026.
Revenue is forecast to increase by 46.7% from 2025.
Car sales have decreased by 23% year-on-year.
The industry expects car sales to fall by approximately a quarter in 2025.
A new methodology for calculating fees could lead to higher prices.
- Who
- The Russian government, industry analysts, and car manufacturers.
- What
- The Russian government anticipates a rise in car scrappage fee revenues despite declining vehicle sales.
- When
- The forecast is for 2026, with comparisons to 2025 and the current year.
- Where
- Russia.
- Why
- Annual indexation of fees and potential recovery in vehicle production.
- Projected 2026 Scrappage Revenue
- Almost 1.65 trillion roubles
- Forecasted Revenue Increase (2025-2026)
- 46.7%
- 2025 Revenue Forecast
- 1.12 trillion roubles
- Revenue Collected as of Sept. 23
- 267 billion roubles
- Vehicle Sales Decline (YOY)
- 23%
- Vehicle Sales in First 8 Months
- 773,264 units
- Anticipated 2025 Sales Decline
- Around a quarter