Archive · 24 Sep 2026
Bay System Intensifies, Bringing Heavy Rain Alerts Across Madhya Pradesh
A strong weather system is growing over the Bay of Bengal.
The articles call it either a cyclone or a depression.
It may carry moisture toward Madhya Pradesh and cause rain across much of the state.
Eastern Madhya Pradesh could receive the heaviest rain.
Chhindwara, Seoni and Balaghat are among the districts under heavy-rain alerts.
Other districts, including Bhopal, Indore and Gwalior, may also receive showers.
The heaviest conditions are expected around September 25 and 26.
Madhya Pradesh has received slightly less rain than its usual seasonal amount so far.
A Bay of Bengal cyclone or depression is strengthening and may bring widespread rain to Madhya Pradesh and central India.
Heavy rainfall is forecast in eastern districts including Chhindwara, Seoni, Balaghat, Chhatarpur, Panna, Satna and Shahdol.
The strongest rainfall is expected around September 25 and 26, with alerts also issued for earlier dates.
Madhya Pradesh has received about 34.2 to 34.3 inches of rain, or roughly 91.5% to 91.9% of normal.
Recent rain affected 33 districts, while more than 100 cities and towns recorded rainfall.
- Who
- Residents of Madhya Pradesh and the India Meteorological Department, which issued the forecasts and alerts.
- What
- A strengthening Bay of Bengal weather system is expected to produce widespread and potentially heavy rainfall across Madhya Pradesh.
- When
- Rain is forecast over the following several days, with the strongest impact expected on September 25 and 26; the articles also mention alerts for September 23 and 24.
- Where
- Madhya Pradesh, particularly its eastern districts; the system may also affect Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and central India.
- Why
- The system is expected to transport moisture and alter atmospheric circulation, triggering rain over central India.
Earlier Forecast Framing
Updated Forecast Framing
System description
Earlier Forecast Framing
The first report describes a cyclone developing over the Bay of Bengal and likely to intensify.
Updated Forecast Framing
The second report describes a depression that is strengthening into a significant weather system.
Timing and affected districts
Earlier Forecast Framing
The first report highlights heavy rain in Chhindwara, Seoni and Balaghat on Wednesday, with alerts on September 23 and 24 and heavier rain possible on September 25 and 26.
Updated Forecast Framing
The second report highlights 10 districts for heavy rain on Thursday and says the strongest impact should occur on September 25 and 26, especially in eastern Madhya Pradesh.
Rainfall totals
Earlier Forecast Framing
The first report states that Madhya Pradesh received 34.2 inches, or 91.5% of normal rainfall, and describes a six-percent overall deficit.
Updated Forecast Framing
The second report states that the state received 34.3 inches, or about 91.9% of its seasonal quota.
- Weather system
- The reports describe a developing Bay of Bengal system as either a cyclone or a depression that is intensifying.
- Peak rainfall period
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected in some areas on September 25 and 26.
- Thursday alert
- Chhatarpur, Panna, Satna, Umaria, Shahdol, Dindori, Mandla, Balaghat, Seoni and Chhindwara are listed for heavy rain.
- Recent rainfall
- Heavy rain was reported in 33 Madhya Pradesh districts on Monday and Tuesday.
- Highest recent total
- Deori in Sagar district recorded 2.4 inches of rainfall.
- Seasonal rainfall
- The state has received about 869.3 millimeters, or 34.2 inches, against a normal 927.5 millimeters.
- Reported rainfall variation
- One article gives 34.2 inches and 91.5% of normal, while the other gives 34.3 inches and 91.9%; the first also reports an overall six-percent deficit.
