Archive · 12 Nov 2025
New Book Analyzes India's Development Story: State, Economy, and Society
This book looks at how India's economy has grown and changed over many years.
In the past, growth was slow, but in the 1980s, it sped up a lot.
This wasn't just because the government spent more money, as some people think.
Instead, it was largely because India started to make more things inside the country to sell, like a way of import substitution, which helped businesses grow without facing much foreign competition.
The reforms after 1991 made growth even faster, leading to more exports and a big drop in poverty.
While this period saw great economic success, it also brought more inequality and corruption.
Interestingly, India's success in exports during this time happened without the same kind of government help or currency manipulation seen in East Asian countries.
The book also notes that while the economy grew, there wasn't a big shift of people into factory jobs like in East Asia.
Despite challenges, this era also saw the beginnings of a stronger government role in providing public services like education and health, and building a safety net for its people.
India experienced a significant economic turnaround in the 1980s, with growth rates rising from 3.5% to nearly 6%.
The 1980s reforms are characterized as 'pro-business' rather than 'pro-market', focusing on liberalizing the domestic private sector without significant exposure to foreign competition, akin to import substitution.
The post-1991 reforms led to export-led growth comparable to East Asian economies, with India's share of global exports increasing significantly, though without similar structural transformation in employment.
While the Left points to increased inequality and corruption, and the Right emphasizes repudiation of past strategies, the book argues both views are incomplete.
The neoliberal era (post-1991) saw substantial poverty reduction, a boost in public goods like education and health, and the beginnings of a redistributive state, despite lacking East Asian-style industrial policy.
- Who
- Devesh Kapur and Arvind Subramanian (authors of 'A Sixth Of Humanity: Independent India’s Development Odyssey')
- What
- Analyzing India's economic growth, structural transformation, and development strategy across different eras, particularly the planning era, the 1980s, and the post-1991 reforms.
- When
- The book covers periods from the planning era (1950-1980), the 1980s, and the post-1991 reforms (1990-2012).
- Where
- India
- Why
- To explain the turnaround in economic growth, the nature of reforms, and their impact on the economy, society, and state capabilities.
The Left's Interpretation
The Right's Interpretation
Economic Growth in the 1980s
The Left's Interpretation
The rising growth was due to an increase in government spending, particularly public investment, and a rise in domestic savings.
The Right's Interpretation
The growth was unsustainable and driven by excessive Keynesian policies, financed by large increases in external borrowings, as evidenced by the 1991 crisis.
Post-1991 Reforms and Outcomes
The Left's Interpretation
Emphasizes the rise in inequality and corruption, particularly in the 2000s, stemming from the allocation of valuable assets and 'rents raj'.
The Right's Interpretation
Highlights the repudiation of distorted incentives from the previous dirigiste strategy, with reforms involving trade liberalization, opening to foreign capital, and dismantling the Licence Raj.
- Economic Growth in the 1980s
- Increased from approx. 3.5% to nearly 6%.
- External Debt to GDP Ratio (1980-81 to 1991-92)
- Increased from 11% to 31%.
- Manufacturing Growth (Planning Era vs. 1980s)
- Approx. 5% in planning era to 7.5-8% in the 1980s.
- India's Global Export Market Share
- Remained broadly unchanged in the 1980s.
- Poverty Rates (Early 1980s vs. 2010)
- Fell from over 50% to less than 20%.
- Growth in Exports of Goods and Services (1995-2008)
- Grew by 13.4% annually in dollar terms.
- India's Share of World Exports (Goods and Services)
- Rose from 0.5% to 2.2%.