Archive · 14 Nov 2025
India Faces Potential Fertilizer Supply Challenges Amidst High Rabi Demand
Farmers in India are buying a lot more fertilizer, especially for crops like wheat, which are being planted on more land this year.
Sales in the first week of November were more than double compared to last year.
While there are enough stocks for some fertilizers to meet current demand, the unusually high sales could make it hard to supply everyone needed during the busy planting months of November and December.
This is similar to a problem seen last year.
Some experts worry that different government departments aren't working together well to predict and manage how much fertilizer is needed and where.
The government says it's checking stores to make sure supplies are available, but concerns remain about managing the increased demand.
Fertilizer sales, particularly urea and DAP, more than doubled in the first week of November compared to last year.
The total area under rabi crops has increased by 27% year-on-year, with wheat acreage seeing a significant rise.
Opening stocks for urea are lower than last year, potentially contributing to supply challenges despite adequate overall stock for November's demand.
Experts suggest a lack of coordination between the Agriculture and Fertilizer Ministries could hinder effective supply management, echoing issues from the previous kharif season.
The government has conducted over 317,000 inspections on fertilizer retailers since April to ensure adequate supply.
- Who
- Indian farmers, Fertilizer Ministry, Agriculture Ministry, fertilizer industry
- What
- Potential challenges in meeting fertilizer demand for the rabi season due to higher-than-expected sowing and sales.
- When
- November-December, with data from November 1-14, 2025
- Where
- India
- Why
- An unexpected surge in fertilizer sales and a significant increase in rabi sowing area, particularly for wheat, coupled with concerns about inter-ministerial coordination in supply management.
Government Perspective
Industry/Expert Concerns
Supply vs. Demand Management
Government Perspective
The government has conducted numerous inspections and remains committed to ensuring fertilizer availability, having also taken steps with the Department of Agriculture and Farmers' Welfare to secure the supply chain.
Industry/Expert Concerns
Experts suggest a lack of coordination between the Agriculture and Fertilizer Ministries could hinder effective supply management, similar to issues faced during the previous kharif season. There are concerns about the ability to manage the supply situation due to unexpected demand surges.
Opening Stock Adequacy
Government Perspective
Except for Urea, opening stocks are sufficient to meet November's demand, with further supplies expected from fresh production and imports.
Industry/Expert Concerns
Despite adequate overall stock for November's demand (except urea), the significant increase in sales, more than doubling in the first week of November, raises concerns about meeting peak demand throughout the rabi season.
- Fertilizer Sales (November 1-7)
- Urea: 6.18 lt (+139% vs. prev year), DAP: 3.49 lt (+144% vs. prev year), MOP: 0.49 lt (+81% vs. prev year), Complex: 3.10 lt (+94% vs. prev year)
- Rabi Sowing Area (as of November 10)
- Over 130 lakh hectares (+27% vs. prev year)
- Wheat Acreage (as of November 10)
- 22.7 lakh hectares (vs. 10 lakh hectares prev year)
- Opening Stock (November 1)
- Urea: 50.54 lt, DAP: 19.05 lt, MOP: 7.33 lt, Complex: 36.21 lt
- November Demand Forecast
- Urea: 43.54 lt, DAP: 17.19 lt, MOP: 3.35 lt, Complex: 18.85 lt
- Government Action
- Over 317,054 inspections on retailers/dealers since April