Archive · 6 Jan 2026
Dan Niles' 2026 Stock Picks: Balancing Growth and Defense
Dan Niles, a well-known fund manager, has chosen five stocks for 2026 that he believes will do well in different market conditions.
The stock market has gone up a lot in the past few years, but not because companies are making more money.
Instead, investors are willing to pay more for the same profits, making stocks expensive.
Niles thinks the market might be in for some changes, so he picked a mix of companies.
Cisco is a networking company that helps connect AI data centers.
Apple is late to the AI trend but has a loyal customer base.
Boeing has a huge backlog of orders and is expected to improve its cash flow.
Nike is going through a turnaround with new management.
Impinj makes tiny chips used for tracking inventory, and this technology is becoming more important.
Niles believes that having a mix of these types of companies will help his portfolio do well in both good and bad market conditions.
The S&P 500 has surged 78% in three years, but corporate earnings only grew 20%, making stocks expensive.
Dan Niles' 2026 portfolio includes Cisco, Apple, Boeing, Nike, and Impinj, balancing growth and defense.
Cisco is expected to benefit from the growth of AI data centers and trades at a lower valuation than the market.
Apple is late to the AI trend but has potential catalysts like an AI-powered Siri and a foldable iPhone.
Boeing has a massive order backlog and is expected to turn positive cash flow in 2026.
Nike is undergoing a turnaround with new management and insiders buying shares.
Impinj makes RFID chips that are becoming essential for tracking inventory, with a potential market much larger than expected.
- Who
- Dan Niles, a top US fund manager
- What
- Stock picks for 2026 focusing on both growth and defense
- When
- 2026
- Where
- United States
- Why
- To build a portfolio that can handle both market growth and downturns
Growth Stocks
Defensive Stocks
Market Valuation
Growth Stocks
Growth stocks are more expensive due to higher expected earnings.
Defensive Stocks
Defensive stocks are relatively cheaper and provide stability.
Earnings Growth
Growth Stocks
Growth stocks are expected to outperform with higher earnings growth.
Defensive Stocks
Defensive stocks offer steady, albeit lower, earnings growth.
Market Conditions
Growth Stocks
Growth stocks perform better in bullish market conditions.
Defensive Stocks
Defensive stocks provide a safer haven during market downturns.
- S&P 500 Growth
- 78% over the past three years
- Corporate Earnings Growth
- 20% over the past three years
- Current Market Valuation
- 26 times earnings
- Historical Market Valuation at Current Inflation
- 19 times earnings
- Cisco's Revenue Growth in 2025
- 5%
- Cisco's Expected Revenue Growth in 2026
- High single digits
- Cisco's Valuation
- 20 times earnings
- Apple's 2025 Performance
- Up 9%
- S&P 500 2025 Performance
- Up 17%
- Boeing's Order Backlog
- Over $600 billion
- Boeing's 2025 Loss
- $2 billion
- Boeing's Expected 2026 Free Cash Flow
- Low single-digit billions
- Nike's 2025 Performance
- Down 15%
- Impinj's RFID Chips Cost
- 1 cent each
- Potential Market for Impinj's RFID in Food
- Over one trillion units annually