9 months ago
Rupee Depreciation: Mixed Impact on Exports and Forex Earnings
A report by Systematix Research shows that when the Indian rupee becomes weaker, it affects different sectors in different ways.
Some sectors like electronics, food, and IT do better because they earn more from exports.
But other sectors like textiles and leather face more problems because they rely on imported materials, which become more expensive.
Companies like Bajaj Auto, ITC, and Reliance Industries have earned a lot from foreign exchange in the last financial year.
A weaker rupee can help these companies make more money, but it's not always a good thing for everyone.
The report also says that global economic conditions can make things worse, reducing the benefits of a weaker currency.
Overall, a weaker rupee isn't a sure way to improve India's trade balance.
Rupee depreciation benefits sectors like electronics, chemicals, machinery, petroleum products, food, and agro-based exports, but high import dependency offsets gains.
Labour-intensive sectors like textiles and leather are negatively impacted by rupee depreciation.
Bajaj Auto, ITC, and Reliance Industries are top net forex earners outside IT and pharma, with significant inflows in FY25.
Global economic conditions, such as slowing growth and rising protectionism, can negate the positive effects of rupee depreciation.
Around 72 companies from the BSE 500 index reported net forex inflows of at least ₹1,000 crore in FY25, with IT and healthcare firms dominating the list.
- Who
- Systematix Research, Bajaj Auto, ITC, Reliance Industries, Tata Consultancy Services
- What
- Report on the impact of rupee depreciation on India's exports, trade balance, and forex earnings
- Where
- India
- When
- December 15, 2025 (Report), FY25 (Forex data)
- Why
- To analyze the effects of currency depreciation on various sectors, trade balance, and forex earnings
Key facts
- Report Author
- Systematix Research
- Beneficial Sectors
- Electronics, chemicals, machinery, petroleum products, food, agro-based exports, IT, pharma, automobiles
- Adverse Sectors
- Textiles, leather, gems and jewellery
- Import Intensity in Manufacturing
- One-third
- Publication Date
- December 15, 2025
- Top Net Forex Earners (Non-IT/Pharma)
- Bajaj Auto, ITC, Reliance Industries
- Bajaj Auto Net Forex Inflow (FY25)
- ₹13,280 crore
- ITC Net Forex Inflow (FY25)
- ₹7,019 crore
- Reliance Industries Net Forex Inflow (FY25)
- ₹79,161 crore
- Rupee Depreciation (FY26)
- 5.8%
Quotes
Rakesh Sharma
Executive Director at Bajaj Auto
“On an annualised basis, every ₹1 depreciation against the dollar lifts EBITDA by over ₹200 crore. The impact of the rupee’s fall flows through to our financials almost immediately, though the entire benefit does not get reflected as part of it is absorbed by hedging.”
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