Archive · 8 Jan 2026
Meteorologists Predict Evolving El Nino in 2026
Some weather experts are saying that there might be an El Nino in 2026.
El Nino can make the monsoon rains in India weaker, which could be a problem for farming and the economy.
Right now, we have something called La Nina, which is the opposite of El Nino and is good for the monsoon.
The experts think La Nina will end sometime between January and March 2026, and then El Nino might start.
But it's still early, and they're not completely sure yet.
Some meteorologists predict an evolving El Nino around May and June 2026.
El Nino can cause below normal monsoon rains in India and potential long breaks in the monsoon season.
Current climate condition is La Nina, which benefits the Indian monsoon.
La Nina is expected to transition to ENSO-neutral conditions most likely in January-March 2026, with a 68% chance.
The last significant impact of El Nino on the Indian monsoon was in 2018, which was negated by a neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD).
- Who
- Meteorologists and climate watchers
- What
- Prediction of an evolving El Nino in 2026
- When
- May and June 2026
- Where
- Global, with specific focus on India
- Why
- El Nino can cause below normal monsoon rains in India, affecting agriculture and economic growth
- Predicted Phenomenon
- El Nino
- Predicted Timeframe
- May and June 2026
- Impact on Indian Monsoon
- Below normal rains, potential long breaks
- Current Climate Condition
- La Nina
- Transition to ENSO-neutral
- Most likely in January-March 2026
- Probability of Transition
- 68%
- Last Significant El Nino Impact
- 2018