Archive · 1 Sep 2026
IMD Forecasts Below-Normal September Rainfall for Andhra Pradesh
Weather officials expect India to get less rain than usual in September.
Andhra Pradesh is also expected to receive below-normal rainfall.
The country already had 16% less rain than normal in August.
Less rain could create problems for farms and water supplies.
Five low-pressure systems formed north of the Bay of Bengal, but they did not bring much rain to Andhra Pradesh.
Future rain in the state may depend on new weather systems after the main monsoon.
The IMD also expects subdued rainfall in southern India in the short term.
Officials said strengthening El Niño conditions may be weakening the monsoon.
The India Meteorological Department forecasts September rainfall below 91% of the Long Period Average for India.
Andhra Pradesh, including its north coastal region, is also expected to receive below-normal rainfall.
India recorded rainfall 16% below normal in August, following weak monsoon activity.
The IMD says rainfall in Andhra Pradesh could depend on post-monsoon systems forming in the Bay of Bengal.
The IMD linked the weakening monsoon to strengthening El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific.
- Who
- The India Meteorological Department and its director general, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra.
- What
- The IMD forecast below-normal September rainfall for India and Andhra Pradesh.
- When
- The forecast was announced on Monday; September rainfall is expected to be below normal.
- Where
- India, including Andhra Pradesh and its north coastal region.
- Why
- The IMD cited weak monsoon activity and strengthening El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific.
- September national forecast
- Rainfall is expected to be below 91% of the Long Period Average.
- August rainfall
- Rainfall across India was 16% below normal.
- Andhra Pradesh outlook
- The state, including north coastal Andhra Pradesh, is likely to receive below-normal rainfall.
- Seasonal monsoon forecast
- The IMD earlier revised its June-September forecast to 90% of the Long Period Average, with a model error of ±4 percentage points.
- Seasonal risk
- The IMD put the probability of deficient monsoon rainfall at 60% and below-normal rainfall at 24%.
- Recent weather systems
- Five low-pressure systems formed north of the Bay of Bengal, but they produced little rain over Andhra Pradesh.
- Short-term coastal warning
- Coastal Andhra Pradesh was warned of thunderstorms, lightning and strong surface winds on September 1 and 2.