Archive · 2 Oct 2026
India’s FY27 Growth Momentum Holds as External Risks Mount
India’s economy grew strongly during the first three months of FY27.
It expanded by 7.8%, which was the best first-quarter result in the current data series.
The government expects growth to continue, but at a slower rate of 7.3% in the next quarter.
Factories, construction companies and service businesses all helped the economy grow.
People continued spending, and businesses increased investment.
Electricity use, fuel use and bank lending also remained strong.
Some measures, such as manufacturing activity and e-way bill generation, grew more slowly.
Conflict in West Asia disrupted energy markets and trade routes around the world.
Higher oil prices and changing weather increased pressure on prices, but most items still had inflation below 4%.
India’s real GDP grew 7.8% year-on-year in Q1 FY27, the highest first-quarter growth in the current series.
The Ministry of Finance’s September review forecasts 7.3% real GDP growth for Q2 FY27.
Manufacturing, construction and services supported broad-based expansion, while domestic demand and investment remained important drivers.
Industrial GVA grew 7.7% in Q1 FY27, led by 9.2% manufacturing growth; July IIP rose 6.7%.
Global oil pressures and weather volatility increased price pressures, although 69% of the inflation basket remained below the 4% target.
- Who
- India’s economy and the Ministry of Finance, which issued the September Monthly Economic Review.
- What
- India recorded 7.8% real GDP growth in Q1 FY27, while the review forecast 7.3% growth for Q2 FY27.
- When
- The review was issued in September and covered Q1 FY27 with an outlook for Q2.
- Where
- India, amid global disruptions affecting energy markets and trade routes in West Asia.
- Why
- Growth was supported by domestic demand, investment, manufacturing, construction and services, while government measures helped limit the effects of external energy and trade shocks.
- Q1 FY27 real GDP growth
- 7.8% year-on-year
- Q2 FY27 GDP forecast
- 7.3% real GDP growth
- Industrial GVA growth
- 7.7% year-on-year in Q1 FY27
- Manufacturing growth
- 9.2% in Q1 FY27
- July IIP growth
- 6.7% year-on-year
- August Manufacturing PMI
- 52.8
- Inflation basket below target
- 69% of items recorded inflation below the 4% target
- Export outlook
- Exports could approach US$1 trillion for the full financial year at the reported run rate