Archive · 5 Dec 2025
RBI Raises FY26 GDP Growth Projection to 7.3%
The Reserve Bank of India has increased its prediction for how much the country's economy will grow in the current financial year.
They now think it will grow by 7.3% instead of the earlier 6.8%.
This is because the economy did really well in the July to September period, growing by 8.2%.
The bank's governor said that things like lower taxes, cheaper oil, and people spending more money during festivals helped the economy grow.
He also mentioned that while some parts of the economy are doing well, like farming and manufacturing, other parts, like exports, are not doing as well.
The bank is also confident that India has enough money in its reserves to handle any problems with money coming in from other countries.
The RBI raised the GDP growth projection for FY26 to 7.3% from 6.8% due to strong economic performance in Q2.
GDP grew by 8.2% in Q2 of 2025-26, the highest in six quarters, driven by resilient domestic demand.
Real Gross Value Added (GVA) expanded by 8.1%, supported by the industrial and services sectors.
Factors contributing to economic growth include GST rationalization, softer crude oil prices, and government capital expenditure.
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) increased robustly, but Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) saw net outflows of USD 0.7 billion.
- Who
- Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and its Governor Sanjay Malhotra
- What
- Raised the GDP growth projection for FY26 to 7.3% from 6.8%
- When
- Announced on December 5, 2025, during the December monetary policy unveiling
- Where
- Mumbai, India
- Why
- Due to robust economic performance in the July-September quarter and other supportive economic factors
- Current GDP Growth Projection
- 7.3%
- Previous GDP Growth Projection
- 6.8%
- Q2 2025-26 GDP Growth
- 8.2%
- Q3 2025-26 Projected GDP Growth
- 7.0%
- Q4 2025-26 Projected GDP Growth
- 6.5%
- Q1 2026-27 Projected GDP Growth
- 6.7%
- Q2 2026-27 Projected GDP Growth
- 6.8%
- Foreign Exchange Reserves (as of Nov 28, 2025)
- USD 686.2 billion
- Current Account Deficit (Q2 2025-26)
- 1.3% of GDP
- Net FPI Outflows (April-Dec 2025)
- USD 0.7 billion