Archive · 14 Jan 2026

Raghuram Rajan Warns of Central Bank Doom Loop

Raghuram Rajan Warns of Central Bank Doom Loop

Raghuram Rajan, a famous economist, is worried about a big problem.

He thinks that some countries, like the US and Japan, have too much debt.

When interest rates go up, it becomes harder for these countries to pay back their debt.

This can create a 'doom loop' where higher interest rates make the debt worse, and the worse debt makes interest rates go even higher.

Central banks, which control interest rates, have been helping by buying government debt.

But Rajan says this might not be a good idea in the long run.

He explains that central banks have been buying a lot of government bonds, especially after the 2008 financial crisis and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

This is called 'quantitative easing' or QE.

The idea was to help the economy, but now it looks like central banks are helping the government pay its debts.

Rajan warns that this could lead to more problems, like higher inflation and economic instability.

He says central banks need to be careful and find better ways to manage this situation.

Sources