Archive · 9 Nov 2025
Indian Banks Raise Credit Growth Forecasts on GST Cuts and Easing Regulations
Imagine banks are like stores that lend money.
Because the government recently lowered taxes on some goods (like cars and things for businesses), more people and companies want to borrow money to buy them.
Banks like SBI and Axis Bank now think they will lend out more money this year than they expected before.
Even companies that aren't traditional banks, like Shriram Finance and Piramal Finance, are seeing more demand for loans, especially for things like two-wheelers and cars.
This is good news for banks because they make money when they lend more.
They also got help from the central bank lowering interest rates and making some rules easier.
Indian banks and NBFCs have raised their credit growth forecasts for FY26.
This upward revision is attributed to recent GST rate cuts, lower interest rates, and easing banking regulations.
SBI, India's largest lender, increased its credit growth guidance to 12-14% for FY26.
NBFCs like Shriram Finance and Piramal Finance are also experiencing higher demand and potentially exceeding their initial loan growth targets.
Key sectors driving this growth include retail, agriculture, MSMEs, two-wheelers, and cars.
- Who
- Banks and NBFCs in India, including SBI, Axis Bank, Shriram Finance, and Piramal Finance
- What
- Increased credit growth guidance for FY26
- When
- Late September 2025 and onwards, with guidance for FY26
- Where
- India
- Why
- Driven by GST rate cuts, reduction in repo rates, favorable monsoon, easing banking regulations, and strong consumer demand in segments like retail, agriculture, and MSMEs.
State Bank of India (SBI)
Axis Bank
Credit Growth Guidance
State Bank of India (SBI)
SBI revised its credit growth guidance upwards from 11% to 12-14% for FY26, anticipating an additional 1% growth at the industry level. They cited strong demand in retail, agriculture, and MSME segments.
Axis Bank
Axis Bank anticipates growing 3% higher than the industry, with their CEO noting that while tariff changes were a headwind in H1FY26, factors like repo cuts and lower GST will drive strong tailwinds in H2FY26.
Impact of GST Rate Cuts
State Bank of India (SBI)
SBI chairman noted robust demand for car and personal loans following GST rate cuts in September.
Axis Bank
Axis Bank's CEO indicated that lower GST will contribute to strong tailwinds in the second half of FY26.
- SBI's Revised Credit Growth Guidance
- 12-14% for FY26
- SBI's Previous Credit Growth Guidance
- 11% for FY26
- Industry Credit Growth Expectation
- 1% additional growth
- Shriram Finance Loan Growth Guidance
- 15% for FY26, potential for 17-18%
- Piramal Finance AUM Growth Guidance
- 25% for FY26
- Key Drivers for Credit Growth
- GST rate cuts, repo rate cuts, favorable monsoon, improved liquidity, RBI policy interventions