Archive · 7 Oct 2026
Acemoglu Predicts AI Could Replace 5% of Work
Daron Acemoglu thinks artificial intelligence may take over only a small part of the work people do in the next ten years.
He estimates that part at about 5%.
Mustafa Suleyman shared this prediction online.
He did so while introducing a new magazine about AI and the future.
Acemoglu says AI should help people do their jobs better.
He does not want AI to be built mainly to replace workers.
The post also said that many Americans worry AI could affect their jobs.
It described those worries as greater than necessary.
Nobel laureate economist Daron Acemoglu predicts AI may replace about 5% of work humans currently do over the next decade.
Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman shared Acemoglu’s assessment in a post on X.
Suleyman introduced the first issue of The Humanist Review, published in July 2026 by Microsoft AI.
Acemoglu argues AI should complement workers and improve their capabilities rather than replace them.
The post said 52% of Americans worry about AI’s impact on their jobs and described that concern as overblown.
- Who
- Economist Daron Acemoglu and Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman.
- What
- Acemoglu predicted AI may replace about 5% of human work over the next decade and argued it should improve workers’ capabilities.
- When
- Suleyman shared the assessment while introducing the magazine’s first issue, published in July 2026; the prediction concerns the next decade.
- Where
- Suleyman shared it in a post on X; no location for the prediction was specified.
- Why
- Acemoglu argues AI should complement workers and make them better at their jobs rather than replace them.
AI should augment workers
AI-related job worries
AI’s role in work
AI should augment workers
Acemoglu’s position, as shared by Suleyman, is that AI should complement workers and help them do their jobs better rather than replace them.
AI-related job worries
The post says 52% of Americans worry about AI’s impact on their jobs, reflecting concern that AI could displace workers; it characterizes that concern as overblown.
- Predicted share of work replaced
- About 5% of work currently done by humans
- Time horizon
- The next decade
- Source of prediction
- Nobel laureate economist Daron Acemoglu
- Person sharing the assessment
- Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman
- Magazine
- The Humanist Review
- Magazine issue
- First issue, published in July 2026
- Reported American concern
- 52% were said to be worried about AI’s impact on their jobs