Archive · 19 Nov 2025
Trump's Energy Policy Shift: Global Impact and Risks
Trump's decision to reverse US climate efforts could make global warming worse and hurt other countries more than the US.
If other countries do the same, it's bad for everyone.
We should work together to use cleaner energy instead.
Trump's reversal of US climate efforts could increase global emissions by 10%
Other countries following suit could lead to a 75% increase in emissions and significant economic losses
US economy gains 0.8% GDP by 2050 if it backs out of the transition, but other countries face higher climate risks
Poorer, hotter countries hit hardest by climate change, with losses up to 3% of GDP by 2050
Cooperation on a technology-driven energy transition yields greater global gains than a race to the bottom
- Who
- US President Donald Trump
- What
- Reversed US efforts to decarbonize and promote fossil fuels
- When
- Currently, with long-term impacts by 2050 and beyond
- Where
- Worldwide, with varying impacts on different countries
- Why
- To gain short-term economic benefits for the US
US Self-Interest
Global Cooperation
Short-term Gains
US Self-Interest
US economy gains 0.8% GDP by 2050
Global Cooperation
No immediate economic benefits
Long-term Risks
US Self-Interest
Modestly higher climate risks, unevenly shared
Global Cooperation
Significant economic losses and increased climate change impacts
Global Leadership
US Self-Interest
US retreats from global climate efforts
Global Cooperation
US leads global cooperation on climate action
- Global Emissions Increase
- 10% if US backs out, 75% if others follow
- US GDP Gain by 2050
- 0.8%
- GDP Losses in Hotter Countries by 2050
- Up to 3%
- Global Temperature Increase by 2100 (vs. ETS)
- Up to 0.4°C if US backs out, 0.7°C if others follow
- Economic Transition Scenario (ETS) Baseline
- Technology-reliant, market-driven pathway to limit temperature increase to about 2.6°C by 2100